AGF Aarhus vs Randers FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Danish Superliga AGF Aarhus - Randers FC
Result
1:3
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Superliga - Championship Group - Round 30
AGF Aarhus - Randers FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.02
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (328/394)80% (349/436)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.791.02
xG on target (xGOT)
3.021.86
Total shots
178
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
83% (328/394)80% (349/436)
Long passes
43% (22/51)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
69% (91/131)61% (65/106)
Crosses
27% (6/22)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.33
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1113
Tackles
50% (9/18)83% (15/18)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
2038
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
1.863.02
Goals prevented
-1.142.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Dammers W. , Nordli S. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mortensen P. , Anderson M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Odey S. , Greve M. (A),
  • 62', Nordli S. , Romer A. ,
  • 62', Hansen S. , Dyhr N. ,
  • 62', Pedersen L. , Themsen M. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Campbell N. , Odey S. (A),
  • 66', Bach T. , Emmery F. ,
  • 70', Odey S. , Mahmoud E. ,
  • 77', Madsen M. , Duelund M. ,
  • 77', Jensen-Abbew J. , Brandhof F. ,
  • 84', Campbell N. , Shamoun N. ,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
41.4%
Draw
28.7%
Randers FC
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.5% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 28.2% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AGF Aarhus's form might have worsened.
  • Randers FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Randers FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AGF Aarhus - Randers FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.95)
    3.31
    (3.58)
    3.15
    (3.79)
    5.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Randers FC?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 1.
    • Aarhus is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Randers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aarhus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aarhus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Injury) Bech T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Randers: Danho F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Randers FC were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    28.02.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    28.09.2024 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 2:2
    30.10.2023 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 2:1
    24.09.2023 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    04.05.2025 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    27.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen 1:3
    21.04.2025 Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    13.04.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 1:1
    Latest results of Randers FC
    02.05.2025 Randers FC - Nordsjælland 3:2
    25.04.2025 Randers FC - Brøndby 0:0
    21.04.2025 Brøndby - Randers FC 4:3
    17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1
    13.04.2025 Nordsjælland - Randers FC 5:2
    Danish Superliga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Copenhagen30169553:332057
    2Midtjylland30175859:392056
    3Randers FC30139855:431248
    4Brondby301212654:421248
    5Nordsjaelland311371153:53046
    6Aarhus3110101151:43840

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