Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies
Result
55:79
04/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
811
Behinds
713
Kicks
143158
Handballs
71109
Disposals
214267
Frees For
1514
Frees Against
1415
Clearances Completed
3533
Marks
7796
Tackles
5663
Hitouts
4132

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 15)
  • 03:19, Elliott J. (G),
  • 06:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:15, Daicos N. (G),
  • 14:06, Walker T. (G),
  • 15:55, Dawson J. (G),
  • 22:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:31, (Behind Rushed),
  • 26:48, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (18 - 22)
  • 01:12, Elliott J. (G),
  • 10:58, Walker T. (G),
  • 14:05, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 15:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 18:16, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:11, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 23:27, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 28:21, Cameron D. (G),
  • 29:39, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 31:35, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 34)
  • 01:40, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 03:46, De Goey J. (G),
  • 05:44, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 07:18, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 09:42, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 12:33, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 14:22, Elliott J. (G),
  • 15:45, Lipinski P. (G),
  • 17:07, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 18:20, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 19:25, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 21:46, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:26, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 24:08, Pedlar L. (G),
  • 31:35, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (3 - 8)
  • 03:39, Soligo J. (Behind),
  • 08:54, Pedlar L. (Behind),
  • 12:37, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 17:22, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 23:38, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 24:38, Elliott J. (G),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
57.4%
Collingwood Magpies
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.55)

    2.25
    (2.35)
    7.1%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Collingwood will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
    • Adelaide has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Collingwood has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Adelaide is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1248:1387. (average 69.3:77.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 593:690. (average 59.3:69).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies 59:56
    16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68
    17.05.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:74
    24.06.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 82:80
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)TBD #2
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Adelaide Crows - Collingwood Magpies?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox Footy
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2
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