Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows
Result
78:68
16/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 10
Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1110
Behinds
128
Kicks
194202
Handballs
149125
Disposals
343327
Frees For
2022
Frees Against
2220
Clearances Completed
2939
Marks
6972
Tackles
5853
Hitouts
2640

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (27 - 20)
  • 04:23, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:56, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 06:47, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 09:17, Rankine I. (G),
  • 10:49, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 13:13, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 17:06, Rachele J. (G),
  • 20:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:31, Walker T. (G),
  • 22:39, McCreery B. (Behind),
  • 25:16, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:43, Hill B. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (16 - 18)
  • 02:28, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 09:06, Pendlebury S. (Behind),
  • 11:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:35, Hill B. (Behind),
  • 16:57, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 19:59, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 21:26, Crisp J. (G),
  • 23:50, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 27:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (20 - 9)
  • 07:47, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 14:15, (Behind Rushed),
  • 17:37, Soligo J. (G),
  • 19:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:31, McCreery B. (G),
  • 24:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 27:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 29:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 31:54, Elliott J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (15 - 21)
  • 04:26, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 06:20, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 12:36, Soligo J. (G),
  • 14:09, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 15:25, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 19:29, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 22:34, Dawson J. (G),
  • 26:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:46, Lipinski P. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
62.5%
Adelaide Crows
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.44)

    2.45
    (2.82)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.
    • Collingwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Adelaide's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Collingwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1253:1121. (average 78.3:70.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 619:587. (average 88.4:83.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:74
    24.06.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 82:80
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    5Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    6Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    7Western Bulldogs159061582:1203131.5036
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1541101152:146778.5318
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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