Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows
Result
78:68
16/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 10
Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1110
Behinds
128
Kicks
194202
Handballs
149125
Disposals
343327
Frees For
2022
Frees Against
2220
Clearances Completed
2939
Marks
6972
Tackles
5853
Hitouts
2640

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (27 - 20)
  • 04:23, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:56, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 06:47, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 09:17, Rankine I. (G),
  • 10:49, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 13:13, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 17:06, Rachele J. (G),
  • 20:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:31, Walker T. (G),
  • 22:39, McCreery B. (Behind),
  • 25:16, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:43, Hill B. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (16 - 18)
  • 02:28, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 09:06, Pendlebury S. (Behind),
  • 11:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:35, Hill B. (Behind),
  • 16:57, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 19:59, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 21:26, Crisp J. (G),
  • 23:50, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 27:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (20 - 9)
  • 07:47, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 14:15, (Behind Rushed),
  • 17:37, Soligo J. (G),
  • 19:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:31, McCreery B. (G),
  • 24:43, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 27:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 29:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 31:54, Elliott J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (15 - 21)
  • 04:26, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 06:20, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 12:36, Soligo J. (G),
  • 14:09, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 15:25, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 19:29, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 22:34, Dawson J. (G),
  • 26:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:46, Lipinski P. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
62.5%
Adelaide Crows
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.44)

    2.45
    (2.82)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows?
    The most likely score is 88:76. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 5.
    • Collingwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Adelaide's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Collingwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1253:1121. (average 78.3:70.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 619:587. (average 88.4:83.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:74
    24.06.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 82:80
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1210021125:822136.8640
    2Brisbane Lions139131128:1002112.5738
    3Adelaide Crows139041313:957137.2036
    4Geelong Cats139041275:1010126.2436
    5Gold Coast Suns128041114:904123.2332
    6Hawthorn Hawks138051150:1029111.7632
    7GWS Giants137061081:1008107.2428
    8Fremantle Dockers127051013:952106.4128
    9Western Bulldogs126061210:991122.1024
    10Essendon Bombers11605821:97184.5524
    11St Kilda Saints12507993:106793.0620
    12Sydney Swans135081004:111490.1320
    13Melbourne Demons12507952:108787.5820
    14Port Adelaide Power12507901:110681.4620
    15Carlton Blues11407889:865102.7716
    16Richmond Tigers133010853:122969.4112
    17North Melbourne11218874:111978.1110
    18West Coast Eagles121011840:130364.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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