Accrington Stanley vs Carlisle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United
Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.68
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
53% (154/292)63% (224/358)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.03
Total shots
510
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1217
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
98
Passes
53% (154/292)63% (224/358)
Long passes
24% (20/84)22% (22/98)
Passes in final third
39% (46/119)41% (43/104)
Crosses
15% (2/13)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.49
Fouls
89
Tackles
58% (7/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
7363
Clearances Total
5363
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.030.99
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Woods J. , O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Aljofree S. , Woods B. (A),
  • 70', Fusire S. , Vela J. ,
  • 70', Wearne S. , Embleton E. ,
  • 76', Whalley S. , Mooney K. ,
  • 77', Hugill J. , Bevan J. ,
  • 86', Walton T. , Caton C. ,
  • 87', Ellis J. , Barclay B. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Whelan C. , Kelly G. (A),
  • 90+3', Love D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Hayden A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
41.1%
Draw
27.7%
Carlisle United
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28.5% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.3% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.41)
    3.4
    (3.29)
    3.01
    (2.87)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dennis M. (Red Card) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Accrington: Conneely S. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Carlisle United - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    05.09.2023 Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United 1:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United?
    It is being streamed on channel
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