Defensa y Justicia vs Colón: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Colón
30/04/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Defensa y Justicia - Colón - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
42.5%
Draw
28.5%
Colón
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 29% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 30% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Colón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.01)
    3.3
    (3.2)
    3.27
    (3.76)
    5.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Colón?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 3 (9.43%), project points - 42, currently - 21, a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Colón has the most likely position - 20 (6.43%), project points - 33, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 40, very small importance 4, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Colón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Defensa y Justicia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Colón were as follows:
    18.10.2022 Colón - Defensa y Justicia 1:2
    Latest results of Colón
    21.04.2023 Colón - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    17.04.2023 Platense - Colón 0:0
    09.04.2023 Boca Juniors - Colón 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    2Lanus1272313:9423
    3Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    4Rosario Central1156013:6721
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1125411:16-511
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente110656:12-66

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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