Result
3:1
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/449) | 86% (422/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (387/449) | 86% (422/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (128/164) | 75% (76/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Maitland-Niles A. (A),
- 26', Frankowski P. 🟨,
- 43', Tolisso C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ait Boudlal A. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 46', Frankowski P. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 48', Seidu A. 🟨,
- 53', Clinton Mata 🟨,
- 67', Karabec A. ↓, Ghezzal R. ↑,
- 69', Embolo B. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 69', Cisse D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 75', Merah K. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
- 76', Morton T. 🟥,
- 80', 1 - 1, Rouault A. ⚽, Meite M. (A),
- 85', Fofana M. ↓, Kluivert R. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Descamps R. (Own goal),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Meite M. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 90+9', Blas L. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rennes
37.8% | Draw
27.2% | Lyon
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Rennes - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.76) |
3.52 ↓
(3.58) |
2.71 ↑
(2.45) |
4.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 23 - 57.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 42.2% – 72.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rennes: Camara M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lyon: Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lyon?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Rennes?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lyon were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lyon
-
Rennes
4:1
18.08.2024
Rennes
-
Lyon
3:0
26.01.2024
Lyon
-
Rennes
2:3
12.11.2023
Rennes
-
Lyon
0:1
09.04.2023
Lyon
-
Rennes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Rennes - Lyon?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
