Liverpool vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Liverpool - Arsenal
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Liverpool - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.55
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
85% (366/432)82% (305/373)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.450.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.380.75
Total shots
911
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1628
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
107
Passes
85% (366/432)82% (305/373)
Long passes
45% (27/60)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
67% (54/81)62% (64/103)
Crosses
14% (1/7)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.44
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
710
Tackles
91% (10/11)38% (5/13)
Duels won
3831
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.750.38
Goals prevented
0.75-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Saliba W. , Mosquera C. ,
  • 29', Gravenberch R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 66', Gyökeres V. 🟨,
  • 70', Merino M. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 70', Martinelli G. , Eze E. ,
  • 79', Ekitike H. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 79', Konate I. , Gomez J. ,
  • 81', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 0, Szoboszlai D. ,
  • 89', Wirtz F. , Endo W. ,
  • 89', Madueke N. , Dowman M. ,
  • 90+8', Endo W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
40.7%
Draw
27.9%
Arsenal
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 27.7% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.2% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Liverpool - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.13)
    3.43
    (3.44)
    3.04
    (3.48)
    4.9%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 35 - 46.1%). Arsenal will win (votes: 12 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 38.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 34.9%57.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Arsenal (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%).
    • AH -0.25 - Arsenal (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • Liverpool is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Arsenal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Norgaard C. (Injury) Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury) Setford T. (Injury) White B. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:15. (average 2.5:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Arsenal were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:2
    27.10.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 2:2
    31.07.2024 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:1
    04.02.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 3:1
    07.01.2024 Arsenal - Liverpool 0:2
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Arsenal
    23.08.2025 Arsenal - Leeds United 5:0
    09.08.2025 Arsenal - Athletic Bilbao 3:0
    06.08.2025 Arsenal - Villarreal 2:3
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Liverpool - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCanal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 2
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, SÝN Sport 3, SÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaPro TV, Voyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2, Hub Premier 8
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1, Varzish Sport
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
    worldWorldSport 24 At Sea
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