Manchester United vs Sunderland: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Sunderland
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Manchester United - Sunderland - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.71
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (350/445)80% (332/416)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.080.94
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
79% (350/445)80% (332/416)
Long passes
34% (20/59)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
66% (78/119)67% (69/103)
Crosses
71% (5/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.36
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (9/16)38% (8/21)
Duels won
4659
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.942.08
Goals prevented
0.940.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Mount M. , Mbeumo B. (A),
  • 29', Alderete O. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ,
  • 35', Sadiki N. 🟨,
  • 37', Adingra S. , Ballard D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 58', Traore B. , Mayenda E. ,
  • 58', Masuaku A. , Talbi C. ,
  • 59', Isidor W. , Brobbey B. ,
  • 64', Dalot D. , Dorgu P. ,
  • 65', Mount M. , Cunha M. ,
  • 76', Xhaka G. 🟨,
  • 77', Mbeumo B. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 79', Hume T. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 81', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 85', Casemiro , Ugarte M. ,
  • 85', Yoro L. , Maguire H. ,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
63.5%
Draw
20.8%
Sunderland
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 19.5% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 19% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Manchester United - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.47)
    4.69
    (4.92)
    6.37
    (6.25)
    2.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 71.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 60.2%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Sunderland (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Sunderland
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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