Monaco vs Manchester City, UEFA Champions League: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Louis II (Monaco).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	1.37
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
81% (243/300)	94% (730/780)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	1.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	2.43
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
6	13
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
19	35
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
81% (243/300)	94% (730/780)
Long passes
59% (23/39)	69% (11/16)
Passes in final third
73% (58/80)	88% (246/278)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	1.96
Throw-ins
9	17
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
55% (6/11)	47% (8/17)
Duels won
40	43
Clearances
23	16
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.43	1.29
Goals prevented
0.43	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Gvardiol J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Teze J. ⚽, Diatta K. (A),
22', Vanderson ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
39', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Haaland E. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Rodri 🟨,
61', Doku J. ↓, Savinho ↑,
61', Rodri ↓, Nico ↑,
63', Diatta K. 🟨,
64', Fati A. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
72', Stones J. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
82', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
82', Coulibaly M. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
82', Salisu M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
88', Silva B. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Dier E. (Pen),
90+4', Savinho 🟨,

Chances of winning

Monaco
9.6%

Draw
16.7%

Manchester City
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

22.9%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

24.8%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monaco's form might have worsened.

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monaco - Manchester City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.12 ↑ (4.6)	6.06 ↑ (4.18)	1.33 ↓ (1.7)	0.8% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Monaco - Manchester City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (82 of 92 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.77% – 95.49%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Man City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Man City is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Monaco: Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Mawissa C. (Muscle Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Monaco: Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Camara L. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Man City: Rodri (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
Including home match between the teams, Monaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Manchester City?

Monaco has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Monaco?

Manchester City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Manchester City were as follows:

Latest results of Monaco

27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺

18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Manchester City

27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Huddersfield Town - Manchester City 0:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 1:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Manchester City - Napoli 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Manchester City - Manchester United 3:0 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Monaco - Manchester City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	Wowow Live
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Action
South-america	ESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 2, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus