Sunderland vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Sunderland - Aston Villa
Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Sunderland - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.71
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
69% (150/216)89% (479/539)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.15
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
814
Passes
69% (150/216)89% (479/539)
Long passes
32% (15/47)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
42% (25/59)84% (194/230)
Crosses
17% (2/12)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.91
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
148
Tackles
65% (13/20)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4639
Clearances
3428
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.151.03
Goals prevented
-0.850.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Mandava R. 🟥,
  • 37', Rigg C. , Ballard D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Digne L. , Elliott H. ,
  • 58', Buendia E. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 63', Maatsen I. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Cash M. , Kamara B. (A),
  • 73', Guessand E. , Malen D. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Isidor W. , Xhaka G. (A),
  • 80', Isidor W. , Mayenda E. ,
  • 80', Talbi C. , Masuaku A. ,
  • 81', Le Fee E. , Geertruida L. ,
  • 82', Rogers M. , Sancho J. ,
  • 82', Kamara B. , Bogarde L. ,
  • 88', Xhaka G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sadiki N. , Neil D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ze7b646e

Chances of winning


Sunderland
25.2%
Draw
28.1%
Aston Villa
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 25.8% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 25.7% 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Sunderland - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.82
    (3.9)
    3.43
    (3.72)
    2.05
    (1.93)
    4.1%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sunderland - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 26 - 46.4%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 18 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 33.3%59.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sunderland (votes: 4 - 40%). Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1.
    • In recent matches, Sunderland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aston Villa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury) Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) O'Nien L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Garcia A. (Knock) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sunderland: Ballard D. (Groin Injury) Le Fee E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Lindelof V. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
    Latest results of Sunderland
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    13.09.2025 Everton - Aston Villa 0:0
    23.08.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 1:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool650112:7515
    2Arsenal641112:3913
    3Crystal Palace63308:3512
    4Tottenham632111:4711
    5Sunderland63217:4311
    6Bournemouth63218:7111
    7Manchester City631214:6810
    8Chelsea622211:838
    9Brighton62229:908
    10Fulham62227:8-18
    11Leeds62226:9-38
    12Everton52126:517
    13Brentford62139:11-27
    14Manchester Utd62137:11-47
    15Newcastle61324:5-16
    16Aston Villa61324:6-26
    17Nottingham61235:10-55
    18Burnley61146:13-74
    19West Ham51045:13-83
    20Wolves60154:13-91

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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