Bayern Munich vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Arena (Munich).

: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.07	0.52
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
90% (502/557)	89% (389/437)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.37	1.03
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
22	23
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
90% (502/557)	89% (389/437)
Long passes
55% (33/60)	43% (13/30)
Passes in final third
84% (108/128)	81% (87/108)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	0.82
Throw-ins
17	12
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
67% (8/12)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
32	35
Clearances
14	13
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.03	2.37
Goals prevented
0.03	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Chalobah T. (Own goal), Olise M. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Kane H. (Pen),
29', 2 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Gusto M. (A),
29', Tah J. 🟨,
29', Maresca E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tah J. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
51', Stanisic J. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Kane H. ⚽,
64', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
68', Neto P. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
68', James R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
81', Fernandez E. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
85', Olise M. 🟨,
86', Laimer K. 🟨,
90+1', Gnabry S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
90+1', Kane H. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
90+6', Andrey Santos 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bayern Munich
53.8%

Draw
23.7%

Chelsea
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Munich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Bayern Munich - Chelsea Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	4.06 ↓ (4.32)	4.24 ↓ (4.39)	4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Chelsea?

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 38 - 70.4%). Chelsea will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.2% – 82.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Guerreiro R. (Abdominal strain) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Sterling R. (Inactive)
We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayern won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Chelsea?

Bayern Munich has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Bayern Munich?

Chelsea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Chelsea were as follows:

Latest results of Bayern Munich

13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich 2:3 ✺

22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Chelsea

13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 West Ham United - Chelsea 1:5 ✺

17.08.2025 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	8:2	6	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	7:1	6	6
3	PSG	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:0	5	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
6	Qarabag	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
7	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	8:5	3	4
8	Manchester City	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
9	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Atl. Madrid	2	1	0	1	7:4	3	3
11	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
12	Marseille	2	1	0	1	5:2	3	3
13	Club Brugge KV	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
14	Sporting CP	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
15	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	6:6	0	3
16	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
17	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
18	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
19	Napoli	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	Royale Union SG	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
21	Galatasaray	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
22	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	2:5	-3	3
23	Juventus	2	0	2	0	6:6	0	2
24	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
25	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
26	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	PSV	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
28	FC Copenhagen	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
29	Olympiacos Piraeus	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
30	Monaco	2	0	1	1	3:6	-3	1
31	Slavia Prague	2	0	1	1	2:5	-3	1
32	Pafos	2	0	1	1	1:5	-4	1
33	Benfica	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0
35	Ajax	2	0	0	2	0:6	-6	0
36	Kairat Almaty	2	0	0	2	1:9	-8	0

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Bayern Munich - Chelsea?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 3, Silk Universal
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Sport 24 Extra, VIX App