Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Chicago Fire
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cincinnati - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cincinnati
51.1%
Draw
22.6%
Chicago Fire
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 21% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 20.2% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cincinnati - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.64)
    4.21
    (4.54)
    3.6
    (4.61)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • Cincinnati is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cincinnati is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 2:3
    17.07.2024 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 0:1
    02.03.2024 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 1:2
    03.06.2023 Cincinnati - Chicago Fire 1:0
    18.03.2023 Chicago Fire - Cincinnati 3:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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