Racing Montevideo vs Huracán Buenos Aires: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires
Result
1:3
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.51
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
72% (189/264)81% (366/451)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.952.43
Total shots
1121
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
513
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
89
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
428
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
72% (189/264)81% (366/451)
Long passes
43% (29/67)57% (43/76)
Passes in final third
59% (57/97)63% (84/134)
Crosses
14% (2/14)47% (9/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.87
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1710
Tackles
57% (12/21)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.430.95
Goals prevented
-0.57-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽, Caceres M. (A),
  • 39', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Urzi A. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Mazzantti W. ↓, Tissera M. ↑,
  • 54', Bosca J. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Pereyra F. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
  • 59', Pinela M. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
  • 59', Bosca J. ↓, Fonseca M. ↑,
  • 71', Urzi A. ↓, Ojeda E. ↑,
  • 71', Tomatis B. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
  • 75', Guidara T. 🟨,
  • 85', Severo A. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
  • 85', Sequeira L. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
  • 85', Miljevic M. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
  • 90+6', 1 - 3, Cabral R. ⚽, Alanis G. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
18%		Draw
28.5%		Huracán Buenos Aires
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.2% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.4% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Montevideo's form might have worsened.
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Buenos Aires's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Buenos Aires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.13 ↑
    (3.45)    		 3.32 ↑
    (3.11)    		 1.78 ↓
    (2.2)    		 5.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Huracán Buenos Aires will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Racing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Huracán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Huracán is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing Montevideo 5:0
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    03.05.2025 Danubio - Racing Montevideo 0:0 ✺
    28.04.2025 Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:1 ✺
    24.04.2025 Corinthians - Racing Montevideo 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo 1:0
    14.04.2025 Racing Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
    03.05.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central 0:1 ✺
    29.04.2025 Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - América de Cali 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    14.04.2025 Central Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:2 ✺
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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