Atlético Grau vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Atlético Grau - Grêmio
Result
0:0
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
Atlético Grau - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.87
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
02
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
75% (254/339)88% (513/583)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.05
Total shots
412
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
910
Passes
75% (254/339)88% (513/583)
Long passes
31% (19/61)63% (27/43)
Passes in final third
58% (46/79)76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (3/15)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.14
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
109
Tackles
63% (15/24)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.050.00
Goals prevented
0.050.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', F. Rojas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luan Candido , Olivera C. ,
  • 62', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 62', Cuellar G. , Ronald ,
  • 70', Sandoval T. , Olivares C. ,
  • 74', Alysson , Andre Henrique ,
  • 77', Bandiera N. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 81', F. Rojas , Reyes J. ,
  • 90', Vasquez A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jemerson 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
18.2%
Draw
26.5%
Grêmio
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 27.7% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 26.8% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Atlético Grau - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (4.21)
    3.52
    (3.38)
    1.7
    (1.87)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Grêmio were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Grêmio - Atlético Grau 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of Grêmio
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    30.04.2025 CS Alagoano - Grêmio 3:2
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    19.04.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 1:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Grau - Grêmio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
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    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
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