Vasco da Gama vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar
Result
3:0
27/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.54
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
91% (529/582)80% (316/393)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.69
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
91% (529/582)80% (316/393)
Long passes
58% (18/31)57% (39/69)
Passes in final third
80% (76/95)66% (80/122)
Crosses
57% (4/7)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.61
Throw-ins
830
Fouls
1212
Tackles
69% (11/16)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5947
Clearances
3912
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.692.02
Goals prevented
0.69-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Rayan , Coutinho (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ,
  • 37', Jair 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 0, Vegetti P. , Tche Tche (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Martinez T. , Guzman L. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez G. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 64', Coutinho , Garre B. ,
  • 74', Tche Tche , Adson ,
  • 74', Moreira N. , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 75', Rayan , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 79', Lazo M. , Arias A. ,
  • 79', Llontop M. , Cabanillas N. ,
  • 80', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
  • 83', Vivanco P. 🟨,
  • 84', Paulo Henrique , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 90', Gonzalez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
67%
Draw
21.6%
FBC Melgar
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 22.4% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21.6% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.47)
    4.34
    (4.19)
    8.3
    (6.7)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Vasco is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    02.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama 3:3
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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