Cruzeiro vs Unión Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe
Result
0:0
28/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Romero B. (Par)
Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
87% (358/410)77% (250/323)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.06
Total shots
116
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
814
Passes
87% (358/410)77% (250/323)
Long passes
49% (22/45)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
70% (83/118)63% (62/99)
Crosses
29% (9/31)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.51
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
148
Tackles
65% (11/17)76% (16/21)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.060.04
Goals prevented
0.060.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Fascendini V. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Verde L. , Martinez M. ,
  • 46', Murilo Rhikman , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 59', Jonathan Jesus , Villalba L. ,
  • 60', Fagner , William Furtado ,
  • 60', Matheus Pereira , Rodriguinho ,
  • 67', Diaz L. , Dinenno J. ,
  • 68', Vargas L. 🟨,
  • 79', Fragapane F. , Palacios J. ,
  • 82', Gamba L. , Colazo A. ,
  • 85', Rodriguinho 🟨,
  • 90', Ham E. , Paz N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
46.5%
Draw
28.8%
Unión Santa Fe
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 25.4% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 24.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.67)
    3.26
    (3.69)
    3.78
    (5.06)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cruzeiro has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Unión is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cruzeiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 2.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Palestino 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    brazilBrazilParamount+
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    colombiaColombiaESPN 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
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