Preston North End vs Aston Villa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English FA Cup Preston North End - Aston Villa
Result
0:3
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FA Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Preston North End - Aston Villa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.473.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.53
Total shots
416
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
18
Corner Kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
1029
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
717
Passes
71% (150/212)89% (459/517)
Long passes
46% (21/46)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
41% (21/51)76% (97/128)
Crosses
0% (0/3)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.34
Fouls
177
Tackles
41% (9/22)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4543
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.530.07
Goals prevented
-0.470.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Keane W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Rashford M. , Digne L. (A),
  • 63', 0 - 2, Rashford M. (Pen),
  • 64', Keane W. , Osmajic M. ,
  • 67', Whiteman B. 🟨,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Ramsey J. , Digne L. (A),
  • 73', Asensio M. , Onana A. ,
  • 73', Tielemans Y. , McGinn J. ,
  • 73', Rogers M. , Malen D. ,
  • 77', Riis E. , Evans C. ,
  • 77', Meghoma J. , Lindsay L. ,
  • 81', Rashford M. , Watkins O. ,
  • 81', Cash M. , Garcia A. ,
  • 83', Frokjaer-Jensen M. , Carroll T. ,
  • 83', Thordarson S. T. , Mawene T. ,

Chances of winning


Preston North End
11.7%
Draw
19.7%
Aston Villa
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 20.5% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14% 20.2% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Preston North End - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.08
    (6.73)
    4.85
    (4.67)
    1.4
    (1.46)
    4.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Preston North End - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 59%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Preston won 0.
    • Recent matches Preston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Aston Villa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Aston Villa is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Preston: McCann A. (Leg Injury) Potts B. (Hamstring Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Preston: Osmajic M. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Preston won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Preston won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Preston North End
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3
    12.03.2025 Aston Villa - Club Brugge 3:0
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3
    28.02.2025 Aston Villa - Cardiff City 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Rossington MainFC United0 : 4
    2Bishop AucklandChadderton1 : 3
    3MacclesfieldBye
    4Atherton R.Atherton5 : 2
    5Curzon AshtonBye
    6Hebburn TownLongridge Town1 : 0
    7WorkingtonStalybridge2 : 3
    8ByeChester
    9WidnesCongleton (WO.)
    10ByeChorley
    11SilsdenBootle2 : 4, 0 : 0
    12ByeDarlington
    13RadcliffeBye
    14ByeSouthport
    15West AucklandWythenshawe FC3 : 1
    16ByeSpennymoor
    17HydePrescot1 : 0, 2 : 2
    18LancasterWhitby1 : 2
    19South ShieldsBye
    20Warrington RylandsGuiseley1 : 4
    21KendalDunston0 : 1
    22Wombwell TownStocksbridge1 : 3
    23Pickering TownRedcar Athletic5 : 2
    24West D. & C.Runcorn Linnets0 : 2
    25AFC FyldeBye
    26WarringtonBamber Bridge0 : 3
    27AvroNantwich0 : 2, 1 : 1
    28TraffordStockton2 : 1
    29Newcastle Blue StarHeaton Stannington1 : 0
    30ByeMarine
    31MorpethPontefract2 : 1
    32WittonShildon3 : 0, 3 : 3
    33HallamAshton Utd2 : 2
    34ByeScarborough
    35KidsgroveRacing Club Warwick1 : 2
    36EveshamBromsgrove5 : 2
    37WorcesterChasetown2 : 3, 1 : 1
    38MangotsfieldBanbury0 : 1
    39AFC TelfordBye
    40ByeKidderminster
    41AlvechurchBarwell4 : 2
    42ByeLeamington
    43BourneShepshed1 : 2, 0 : 0
    44StamfordCoventry Sphinx1 : 0
    45CorbyGainsborough1 : 2
    46RushallAtherstone5 : 1
    47Boston TownSporting Khalsa0 : 2, 1 : 1
    48ByeHereford
    49ColeshillWorcester Raiders2 : 1
    50HednesfordBasford3 : 1
    51BuxtonBye
    52RedditchSkegness Town5 : 0
    53IlkestonSpalding United1 : 2
    54ByeAlfreton
    55QuornSherwood Colliery8 : 0
    56Long EatonKettering1 : 4
    57MatlockBottesford4 : 1
    58Carlton TownCleethorpes3 : 0
    59HarboroughLeek3 : 0, 0 : 0
    60ByeWorksop
    61Eastwood CommunityGrimsby Borough1 : 2
    62HalesowenStratford3 : 0, 1 : 1
    63Sutton ColdfieldAbbey Hulton3 : 2, 2 : 2
    64Hanley TownStourbridge0 : 2
    65RedbridgeRoyston1 : 2
    66BrentwoodLeighton Town2 : 1
    67BrightlingseaBury Town2 : 3
    68NewmarketWoodford Town2 : 3
    69Potters BarHitchin0 : 2, 2 : 2
    70Aylesbury ValeSt. Albans1 : 3
    71CheshuntLeiston1 : 2
    72KnaphillHackney Wick1 : 2
    73HistonMulbarton Wanderers2 : 3
    74WithamLowestoft3 : 2
    75BedfordBye
    76ByeDag & Red
    77Enfield FCIlford3 : 1
    78ByeEnfield Town
    79CheshamBye
    80ByeKingu2019s Lynn
    81ChelmsfordBye
    82Bowers & PitseaHertford1 : 2
    83SudburyMildenhall4 : 0
    84AveleyHashtag3 : 0
    85Hemel HempsteadBye
    86Real BedfordBishop's Stortford0 : 1, 1 : 1
    87Peterborough SportsBye
    88ByeHornchurch
    89Needham MarketTilbury4 : 2
    90EynesburyArlesey3 : 1
    91HaverhillWaltham Abbey0 : 3
    92March TownGorleston1 : 3
    93Maldon & TiptreeCanvey2 : 0
    94StanwayCockfosters2 : 1
    95BillericayBarton4 : 1
    96BerkhamstedSt. Ives2 : 0
    97Raynes Park ValeAshford U.0 : 2
    98ChathamMarlow4 : 0
    99UxbridgeWelling1 : 2
    100ByeSlough
    101FolkestoneSevenoaks3 : 0
    102ByeMaidstone
    103FarnboroughBye
    104ByeDover
    105DorkingBye
    106CarshaltonWingate & Finchley2 : 3, 0 : 0
    107Eastbourne BoroBye
    108EpsomRisborough2 : 1
    109WokinghamBurgess Hill1 : 5
    110Erith TownFarnham0 : 3
    111Burnham FCJersey Bulls0 : 3
    112ByeWorthing
    113Cray WanderersHanwell Town0 : 1, 2 : 2
    114Bedfont SportsLittlehampton4 : 3
    115ChertseyThame2 : 1
    116RamsgateCray Valley1 : 2
    117WestfieldSheppey United2 : 0
    118ByeHorsham FC
    119BracknellDartford2 : 0, 2 : 2
    120TadleyWeymouth4 : 2
    121Hayes & YeadingWhitehawk1 : 1
    122Three BridgesWalton & Hersham0 : 2
    123MaidenheadBye
    124FavershamHastings3 : 0, 2 : 2
    125EbbsfleetBye
    126Ashford TownWhyteleafe3 : 2
    127Tower HamletsAscot4 : 1
    128FlackwellLewes2 : 1
    129DealCobham2 : 0
    130BeckenhamEgham2 : 3
    131Dulwich HamletWhitstable Town2 : 3
    132Havant & WChichester0 : 1
    133Hampton & RichmondBye
    134SittingbourneCroydon Ath.1 : 2
    135Steyning TownLancing5 : 0
    136ByeTonbridge
    137WinchesterFareham0 : 1, 0 : 0
    138FairfordSholing0 : 2
    139TivertonTaunton3 : 4
    140ByeWeston-super-Mare
    141Bishops CleeveWimborne2 : 5
    142ByeBath
    143Falmouth TownBrixham0 : 5
    144SlimbridgeDorchester0 : 1
    145GloucesterPortchester2 : 0, 1 : 1
    146ByeChippenham
    147SalisburyBye
    148Hythe & DibdenLaverstock & Ford1 : 2
    149GosportBasingstoke2 : 1
    150DidcotPoole1 : 2, 1 : 1
    151AFC TottonBye
    152ByeTorquay
    153HungerfordAFC Stoneham3 : 0
    154TavistockSwindon S1 : 4
    155Merthyr TownBye
    156Royal WoottonTorpoint1 : 3
    157Westbury UnitedYate Town3 : 2, 2 : 2
    158ByeOxford City
    159Shaftesbury TownExmouth Town1 : 1
    160Plymouth ParkwayFrome0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1FC UnitedChadderton
    2MacclesfieldAtherton R.
    3Curzon AshtonHebburn Town
    4StalybridgeChester
    5CongletonChorley
    6BootleDarlington
    7RadcliffeSouthport
    8West AucklandSpennymoor
    9HydeWhitby
    10South ShieldsGuiseley
    11DunstonStocksbridge
    12Pickering TownRuncorn Linnets
    13AFC FyldeBamber Bridge
    14NantwichTrafford
    15Newcastle Blue StarMarine
    16MorpethWitton
    17TBD #33Scarborough
    18Racing Club WarwickEvesham
    19ChasetownBanbury
    20AFC TelfordKidderminster
    21AlvechurchLeamington
    22ShepshedStamford
    23GainsboroughRushall
    24Sporting KhalsaHereford
    25ColeshillHednesford
    26BuxtonRedditch
    27Spalding UnitedAlfreton
    28QuornKettering
    29MatlockCarlton Town
    30HarboroughWorksop
    31Grimsby BoroughHalesowen
    32Sutton ColdfieldStourbridge
    33RoystonBrentwood
    34Bury TownWoodford Town
    35HitchinSt. Albans
    36LeistonHackney Wick
    37Mulbarton WanderersWitham
    38BedfordDag & Red
    39Enfield FCEnfield Town
    40CheshamKingu2019s Lynn
    41ChelmsfordHertford
    42SudburyAveley
    43Hemel HempsteadBishop's Stortford
    44Peterborough SportsHornchurch
    45Needham MarketEynesbury
    46Waltham AbbeyGorleston
    47Maldon & TiptreeStanway
    48BillericayBerkhamsted
    49Ashford U.Chatham
    50WellingSlough
    51FolkestoneMaidstone
    52FarnboroughDover
    53DorkingWingate & Finchley
    54Eastbourne BoroEpsom
    55Burgess HillFarnham
    56Jersey BullsWorthing
    57Hanwell TownBedfont Sports
    58ChertseyCray Valley
    59WestfieldHorsham FC
    60BracknellTadley
    61TBD #121Walton & Hersham
    62MaidenheadFaversham
    63EbbsfleetAshford Town
    64Tower HamletsFlackwell
    65DealEgham
    66Whitstable TownChichester
    67Hampton & RichmondCroydon Ath.
    68Steyning TownTonbridge
    69FarehamSholing
    70TauntonWeston-super-Mare
    71WimborneBath
    72BrixhamDorchester
    73GloucesterChippenham
    74SalisburyLaverstock & Ford
    75GosportPoole
    76AFC TottonTorquay
    77HungerfordSwindon S
    78Merthyr TownTorpoint
    79Westbury UnitedOxford City
    80TBD #159Frome
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