Birmingham City vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

08/02/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	2.84
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Goal Attempts
11	16
Shots on Goal
6	9
Shots off Goal
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Big Chances
3	5
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
Free Kicks
11	12
Offsides
2	1
Fouls
12	11
Yellow Cards
4	3
Throw-ins
18	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
19	35
Passes
74% (200/271)	83% (381/461)
Passes in the final third
56% (48/85)	74% (99/133)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	6% (1/16)
Tackles
55% (11/20)	68% (13/19)
Clearances Total
24	18
Interceptions
16	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Laird E. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
14', Burn D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Willock J. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
26', 1 - 2, Wilson C. ⚽, Osula W. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Iwata T. ⚽,
45+3', Osula W. 🟨,
45+3', Anderson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Tonali S. ↑,
55', Wilson C. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
55', Burn D. ↓, Schar F. ↑,
62', Leonard M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
66', Stansfield J. 🟨,
68', Willock J. 🟨,
71', Klarer C. 🟨,
75', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,
76', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
76', Anderson K. ↓, May A. ↑,
77', Wright S. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Willock J. ⚽, Longstaff S. (A),
84', Iwata T. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
90+14', Osula W. ↓, Isak A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Birmingham City
20.3%

Draw
23%

Newcastle United
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

19.4%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

17.7%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Birmingham City - Newcastle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↓ (6.1)	4.16 ↓ (4.89)	1.68 ↑ (1.46)	4.5% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Newcastle United?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Newcastle will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Birmingham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Newcastle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Newcastle have a series of home games.
In this match Newcastle is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Newcastle United?

Birmingham City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Birmingham City?

Newcastle United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Newcastle United were as follows:

Latest results of Birmingham City

04.02.2025 Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Birmingham City - Rotherham United 2:1 ✺

28.01.2025 Huddersfield Town - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

23.01.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Birmingham City - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Newcastle United

05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 1:2 ✺

25.01.2025 Southampton - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺

18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4 ✺

15.01.2025 Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Hebburn Town	Longridge Town	1 : 0
2	Trafford	Stockton	2 : 1
3	Atherton R.	Atherton	5 : 2
4	West D. & C.	Runcorn Linnets	0 : 2
5	Pickering Town	Redcar Athletic	5 : 2
6	Witton	Shildon	3 : 3
7	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley	1 : 4
8	Hallam	Ashton Utd	2 : 2
9	Hyde	Prescot	2 : 2
10	Wombwell Town	Stocksbridge	1 : 3
11	Workington	Stalybridge	2 : 3
12	Warrington	Bamber Bridge	0 : 3
13	Widnes	Congleton (WO.)
14	Lancaster	Whitby	1 : 2
15	Newcastle Blue Star	Heaton Stannington	1 : 0
16	Avro	Nantwich	1 : 1
17	Morpeth	Pontefract	2 : 1
18	Rossington Main	FC United	0 : 4
19	Kendal	Dunston	0 : 1
20	Bishop Auckland	Chadderton	1 : 3
21	Silsden	Bootle	0 : 0
22	Redditch	Skegness Town	5 : 0
23	Hanley Town	Stourbridge	0 : 2
24	Boston Town	Sporting Khalsa	1 : 1
25	Matlock	Bottesford	4 : 1
26	Eastwood Community	Grimsby Borough	1 : 2
27	Coleshill	Worcester Raiders	2 : 1
28	Harborough	Leek	0 : 0
29	Carlton Town	Cleethorpes	3 : 0
30	Evesham	Bromsgrove	5 : 2
31	Alvechurch	Barwell	4 : 2
32	Long Eaton	Kettering	1 : 4
33	Hednesford	Basford	3 : 1
34	Halesowen	Stratford	1 : 1
35	Quorn	Sherwood Colliery	8 : 0
36	Ilkeston	Spalding United	1 : 2
37	Worcester	Chasetown	1 : 1
38	Sutton Coldfield	Abbey Hulton	2 : 2
39	Stamford	Coventry Sphinx	1 : 0
40	Corby	Gainsborough	1 : 2
41	Kidsgrove	Racing Club Warwick	1 : 2
42	Rushall	Atherstone	5 : 1
43	Bourne	Shepshed	0 : 0
44	Brentwood	Leighton Town	2 : 1
45	Maldon & Tiptree	Canvey	2 : 0
46	Eynesbury	Arlesey	3 : 1
47	Enfield FC	Ilford	3 : 1
48	Newmarket	Woodford Town	2 : 3
49	Witham	Lowestoft	3 : 2
50	Cheshunt	Leiston	1 : 2
51	Redbridge	Royston	1 : 2
52	March Town	Gorleston	1 : 3
53	Real Bedford	Bishop's Stortford	1 : 1
54	Brightlingsea	Bury Town	2 : 3
55	Billericay	Barton	4 : 1
56	Aveley	Hashtag	3 : 0
57	Potters Bar	Hitchin	2 : 2
58	Berkhamsted	St. Ives	2 : 0
59	Histon	Mulbarton Wanderers	2 : 3
60	Bowers & Pitsea	Hertford	1 : 2
61	Sudbury	Mildenhall	4 : 0
62	Aylesbury Vale	St. Albans	1 : 3
63	Haverhill	Waltham Abbey	0 : 3
64	Needham Market	Tilbury	4 : 2
65	Stanway	Cockfosters	2 : 1
66	Havant & W	Chichester	0 : 1
67	Ashford Town	Whyteleafe	3 : 2
68	Steyning Town	Lancing	5 : 0
69	Bracknell	Dartford	2 : 2
70	Chertsey	Thame	2 : 1
71	Folkestone	Sevenoaks	3 : 0
72	Ramsgate	Cray Valley	1 : 2
73	Deal	Cobham	2 : 0
74	Faversham	Hastings	2 : 2
75	Raynes Park Vale	Ashford U.	0 : 2
76	Wokingham	Burgess Hill
77	Tower Hamlets	Ascot	4 : 1
78	Beckenham	Egham	2 : 3
79	Epsom	Risborough	2 : 1
80	Cray Wanderers	Hanwell Town	2 : 2
81	Bedfont Sports	Littlehampton	4 : 3
82	Uxbridge	Welling	1 : 2
83	Erith Town	Farnham	0 : 3
84	Dulwich Hamlet	Whitstable Town	2 : 3
85	Knaphill	Hackney Wick	1 : 2
86	Sittingbourne	Croydon Ath.	1 : 2
87	Westfield	Sheppey United	2 : 0
88	Three Bridges	Walton & Hersham	0 : 2
89	Carshalton	Wingate & Finchley	0 : 0
90	Flackwell	Lewes	2 : 1
91	Burnham FC	Jersey Bulls	0 : 3
92	Chatham	Marlow	4 : 0
93	Hayes & Yeading	Whitehawk	1 : 1
94	Didcot	Poole	1 : 1
95	Fairford	Sholing	0 : 2
96	Royal Wootton	Torpoint	1 : 3
97	Winchester	Fareham	0 : 0
98	Westbury United	Yate Town	2 : 2
99	Slimbridge	Dorchester	0 : 1
100	Hungerford	AFC Stoneham	3 : 0
101	Tiverton	Taunton	3 : 4
102	Tadley	Weymouth	4 : 2
103	Bishops Cleeve	Wimborne	2 : 5
104	Gloucester	Portchester	1 : 1
105	Mangotsfield	Banbury	0 : 1
106	Gosport	Basingstoke	2 : 1
107	Hythe & Dibden	Laverstock & Ford	1 : 2
108	Falmouth Town	Brixham	0 : 5
109	Shaftesbury Town	Exmouth Town	1 : 1
110	Plymouth Parkway	Frome	0 : 4
111	Tavistock	Swindon S	1 : 4
112	West Auckland	Wythenshawe FC	3 : 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Birmingham City - Newcastle United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet Now, Sportsnet Now Plus, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport Fotbool
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5, TVWan
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, BBC Sport
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+