Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (364/464) | 83% (542/652) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (364/464) | 83% (542/652) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 44% (23/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (61/96) | 70% (136/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mbangula S. ⚽,
- 45', Agu F. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 68', Puertas C. 🟨,
- 71', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 71', Ritzka L. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 71', Sands J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 73', Stage J. 🟨,
- 81', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 81', Mbangula S. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
- 90', Grull M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen
45.8% | Draw
28% | St. Pauli
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22
(2.22) |
3.67 ↓
(3.85) |
4.07 ↑
(3.09) |
-3%
(3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 34.4% – 68.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.
- Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Pauli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Backhaus M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Deman O.
(Ankle Injury)
Stark N.
(Hip Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Malatini J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Irvine J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against St. Pauli?
Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Werder Bremen?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - St. Pauli were as follows:
27.04.2025
Werder Bremen
-
St. Pauli
0:0
14.12.2024
St. Pauli
-
Werder Bremen
0:2
Latest results of Werder Bremen
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
