Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven
Result
2:2
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.48
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
913
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
15
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Throw-ins
139
Touches in the Opposition Box
2015
Passes
87% (422/483)87% (408/467)
Passes in the final third
72% (78/108)70% (57/82)
Crosses
27% (4/15)22% (2/9)
Tackles
71% (5/7)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
914
Interceptions
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Zinchenko O. , Sterling R. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Perisic I. , Til G. (A),
  • 34', Babadi I. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Rice D. , Sterling R. (A),
  • 42', Kiwior J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Schouten J. , Veerman J. ,
  • 63', Rice D. 🟨,
  • 64', Rice D. , Calafiori R. ,
  • 64', Merino M. , Trossard L. ,
  • 68', Perisic I. , de Jong L. ,
  • 69', Obispo A. , Boscagli O. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Driouech C. , Babadi I. (A),
  • 77', Nagalo A. , Flamingo R. ,
  • 79', Zinchenko O. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 79', White B. , Timber J. ,
  • 79', Tierney K. , Martinelli G. ,
  • 80', Driouech C. , Bajraktarevic E. ,
  • 90+3', Sterling R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
64.5%
Draw
21.3%
PSV Eindhoven
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 18.6% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 17.7% 11.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal's form might have worsened.
  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.37)
    4.54
    (5.15)
    6.76
    (8.16)
    3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 54 - 84.4%). PSV will win (votes: 7 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 75.5%93.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 7-1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.
    • Recently PSV have a series of home games.
    • In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Hamstring Injury) Saka B. (Thigh Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Kuhn W. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.6:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    12.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:1
    20.09.2023 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 4:0
    27.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 2:0
    20.10.2022 Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven 1:0
    Latest results of Arsenal
    04.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Arsenal 1:7
    22.02.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 0:1
    15.02.2025 Leicester City - Arsenal 0:2
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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