Fiorentina vs Como: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

: Serie A - Round 4
Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.44
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
8	19
Shots on target
1	7
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
77% (239/312)	85% (425/501)
Yellow Cards
4	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.44	1.49
Total shots
8	19
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
19	16
Passes
77% (239/312)	85% (425/501)
Long passes
39% (21/54)	59% (27/46)
Passes in final third
55% (43/78)	76% (93/123)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.22	0.66
Throw-ins
10	17
Fouls
16	19
Tackles
50% (11/22)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
60	58
Clearances
17	33
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.49	0.44
Goals prevented
-0.51	-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽,
7', Vojvoda M. 🟨,
22', Lamptey T. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
30', Pongracic M. 🟨,
34', Pioli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vojvoda M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
50', Roberto S. 🟨,
61', Kuhn N. ↓, Addai J. ↑,
61', Morata A. ↓, Douvikas A. ↑,
62', Fazzini J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
62', Mandragora R. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Kempf M. O. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
68', Ranieri L. 🟨,
77', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
77', Piccoli R. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
78', Ranieri L. ↓, Viti M. ↑,
82', Valle A. ↓, Posch S. ↑,
88', Dodo 🟨,
89', Sohm S. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Addai J. ⚽, Paz N. (A),
90+5', Roberto S. ↓, Goldaniga E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
40.3%

Draw
28.8%

Como
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+5%)

Fiorentina - Como Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.69)	3.48 ↑ (3.23)	3.33 ↑ (2.72)	0.3% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Como?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). Como will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 34.4% – 68.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 25%). Como (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Como may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Foot Injury) Dossena A. (Knee Injury) Ramon J. (Red Card) Van der Brempt I. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Como?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Como won against Fiorentina?

Como has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Como were as follows:

16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2

24.11.2024 Como - Fiorentina 0:2

Latest results of Fiorentina

13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Torino - Fiorentina 0:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr 3:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Como

15.09.2025 Como - Genoa 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Como - Lazio 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige 3:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Barcelona - Como 5:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	6	5	0	1	12:6	6	15
2	AS Roma	6	5	0	1	7:2	5	15
3	AC Milan	6	4	1	1	9:3	6	13
4	Inter	6	4	0	2	17:8	9	12
5	Juventus	6	3	3	0	9:5	4	12
6	Atalanta	6	2	4	0	11:5	6	10
7	Bologna	6	3	1	2	9:5	4	10
8	Como	6	2	3	1	7:5	2	9
9	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
10	Cremonese	6	2	3	1	7:8	-1	9
11	Cagliari	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
12	Udinese	6	2	2	2	6:9	-3	8
13	Lazio	6	2	1	3	10:7	3	7
14	Parma	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
15	Lecce	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
16	Torino	6	1	2	3	5:13	-8	5
17	Fiorentina	6	0	3	3	4:8	-4	3
18	Verona	6	0	3	3	2:9	-7	3
19	Genoa	6	0	2	4	3:9	-6	2
20	Pisa	6	0	2	4	3:10	-7	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Como?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+