Boca Juniors vs Lanús: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Lanús
Result
1:0 penalties
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Boca Juniors - Lanús - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.06
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
80% (368/460)80% (313/392)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.68
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
711
Passes
80% (368/460)80% (313/392)
Long passes
39% (20/51)58% (23/40)
Passes in final third
68% (106/156)71% (77/109)
Crosses
31% (8/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.58
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
117
Tackles
75% (21/28)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.680.56
Goals prevented
0.680.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 42', Mendez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 59', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
  • 62', Rojo M. 🟨,
  • 62', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 72', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
  • 74', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
  • 87', Medina A. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
  • 87', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
  • 87', Belmonte T. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
  • 2, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
  • 2, Zeballos E. (Pen),
  • 3, Aquino D. (Pen),
  • 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
  • 4, Carrera R. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
49%		Draw
30.9%		Lanús
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 25.8% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.4% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↑
    (1.74)    		 3.08 ↓
    (3.6)    		 4.71 ↑
    (4.49)    		 5.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez M. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Knee Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Injury) Perez G. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Lanús were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 1:0
    18.02.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 2:1
    23.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    10.06.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    14.09.2022 Lanús - Boca Juniors 0:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lanús
    06.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Lanús 0:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Lanús 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Lanús 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lanús - Banfield 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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