Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Middlesbrough - Cardiff City
Result
1:1
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 26
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
Middlesbrough - Cardiff City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.56
Ball Possession
75%25%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
159
Offsides
73
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
188
Touches in the Opposition Box
2610
Passes
89% (615/691)63% (143/228)
Passes in the final third
77% (141/182)47% (40/86)
Crosses
18% (4/22)38% (3/8)
Tackles
88% (7/8)52% (15/29)
Clearances Total
1035
Interceptions
1112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Latte Lath E. , Doak B. (A),
  • 21', 1 - 1, Chambers C. ,
  • 30', O'Dowda C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 67', Burgzorg D. , Jones I. ,
  • 75', Doak B. 🟨,
  • 75', Azaz F. , Gilbert A. ,
  • 76', Rinomhota A. 🟨,
  • 79', Ashford C. , Bagan J. ,
  • 79', Colwill R. , Meite Y. ,
  • 80', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 83', Robertson A. , Ralls J. ,
  • 84', Neto Borges , Engel L. ,
  • 89', Barlaser D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
61.4%
Draw
22.4%
Cardiff City
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 22.9% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 22.2% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Middlesbrough - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.61)
    4.23
    (4.11)
    5.83
    (5.05)
    5.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6%78%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4.
    • Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Robinson C. (Red Card) Simic R. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:20 (average 1.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Cardiff City were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 0:2
    27.04.2024 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 1:4
    03.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Cardiff City 2:0
    11.02.2023 Cardiff City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    13.09.2022 Middlesbrough - Cardiff City 2:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City21104:134
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Wrexham20023:5-20
    20Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    21Blackburn20021:3-20
    22Derby20024:8-40
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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