Result
1:1
02/09/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Championship - Round 4
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (295/384) | 86% (465/540) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (295/384) | 86% (465/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/116) | 77% (147/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.42 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Morris A. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
- 28', Mejbri H. 🟨,
- 39', Lankshear W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hountondji A. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
- 46', Mejbri H. ↓, Alleyne M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Raghouber U. ⚽, Amdouni Z. (A),
- 61', McGree R. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
- 61', Joseph K. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
- 71', Jones A. 🟨,
- 71', Amdouni Z. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 74', Jones A. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 77', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
- 81', Satpaev D. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
- 87', Lankshear W. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 90+1', Raghouber U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley
30.5% | Draw
25.6% | Middlesbrough
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burnley - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.19) |
3.72 ↑
(3.34) |
2.18 ↓
(3.3) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Burnley - Middlesbrough?
- Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.8% – 75.4%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 3.5 - under (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
- Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Injury)
Banel J.
(Injury)
Barnes A.
(Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
Humphreys B.
(Inactive)
Laurent J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Coach's decision)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Middlesbrough?
Burnley has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Burnley?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Middlesbrough were as follows:
29.12.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Burnley
0:0
06.12.2024
Burnley
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
07.04.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Burnley
1:2
17.12.2022
Burnley
-
Middlesbrough
3:1
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Stoke | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Millwall | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Which TV channels are streaming of Burnley - Middlesbrough?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+, SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
