Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Austin FC - Seattle Sounders
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Austin FC - Seattle Sounders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.592.82
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
76
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Long passes
33% (13/40)54% (13/24)
Passes in final third
76% (113/148)77% (98/127)
Crosses
20% (3/15)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.48
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
67
Tackles
76% (13/17)100% (6/6)
Duels won
3722
Clearances
2912
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.822.59
Goals prevented
1.820.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 28', Rothrock P. 🟨,
  • 40', Desler M. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Rubio D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Brunell S. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Minoungou G. , Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 60', Musovski D. , Morris J. ,
  • 60', Rothrock P. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 62', Rubio D. , Bukari O. ,
  • 62', Sabovic B. , Pereira D. ,
  • 70', Rusnak A. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Sanchez I. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 78', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 90+2', Ferreira J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Roldan A. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Uzuni M. , Fodrey C. (A), Pereira D. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
30.8%
Draw
27.5%
Seattle Sounders
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 26.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 26.4% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Austin FC - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.44)
    3.48
    (3.53)
    2.31
    (2.69)
    4.5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 2:0
    13.07.2024 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 0:1
    02.03.2024 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    17.05.2023 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 1:2
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Austin FC - Seattle Sounders?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
    australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    brazilBrazilHBO Max
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
    spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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