Mladá Boleslav vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Mladá Boleslav - Lugano
Result
0:1
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)
Mladá Boleslav - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.19
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
35
Free Kicks
1014
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
1714
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Fouls
1410
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
390655
Completed Passes
303572
Crosses Completed
51
Interceptions
2214

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Sakala B. , Stransky V. ,
  • 74', Aliseda I. , Bottani M. ,
  • 75', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 78', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 81', Vydra P. (Pen),
  • 84', Fulnek J. , Marecek D. ,
  • 84', Grgic A. , Belhadj M. ,
  • 88', Ladra T. , Vojta M. ,
  • 90+1', Steffen R. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Bislimi U. , Dos Santos D. ,
  • 90+8', Bottani M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mladá Boleslav
26.5%
Draw
26.9%
Lugano
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 29.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 30.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladá Boleslav's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mladá Boleslav - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.8)
    3.52
    (3.25)
    2.04
    (2.55)
    5.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6%78%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Vladi S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Belhadj M. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
    Latest results of Lugano
    20.10.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 2:0
    06.10.2024 Zürich - Lugano 1:1
    03.10.2024 Lugano - HJK 3:0
    29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1
    22.09.2024 Sion - Lugano 0:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    4VikingurLinfield2 : 1
    6MilsamiVirtus3 : 2
    8DifferdangeLevadia2 : 3
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia0 : 0
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby3 : 0
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia0 : 1
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana2 : 1
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol3 : 0
    18ArisAEK Athens FC2 : 2
    19VikingBasaksehir1 : 3
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava3 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23LuganoCelje0 : 5
    24OstravaAustria Vienna4 : 3
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa0 : 1
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda0 : 1
    27PartizanHibernian0 : 2
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku1 : 0
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz3 : 0
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks3 : 0
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor2 : 1
    34SK RapidDundee Utd2 : 2
    35KlaksvikNeman2 : 0
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana3 : 1
    38St. PatricksBesiktas1 : 4
    39LarneSanta Clara0 : 3
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers1 : 0
    41RosenborgHammarby0 : 0
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia4 : 1
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem3 : 0
    48ArazOmonia0 : 4

    Final
    2ByeTBD #4
    3ByeTBD #6
    4ByeTBD #8
    5TBD #9Bye
    6StrasbourgTBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27Bye
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fiorentina
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35Rayo Vallecano
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41Mainz
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    24ByeTBD #48
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