Lugano vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio di Cornaredo (Lugano).

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.67	0.42
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Goal Attempts
21	9
Shots on Goal
7	4
Shots off Goal
8	3
Blocked Shots
6	2
Free Kicks
12	15
Corner Kicks
5	2
Offsides
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
Fouls
14	12
Yellow Cards
1	0
Total Passes
680	418
Completed Passes
590	336
Crosses Completed
9	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Hajdari A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Papadopoulos A. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Marques M. ⚽,
60', Halme A. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
60', Hostikka S. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
65', Bottani M. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
65', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
65', Aliseda I. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
75', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
75', Erwin L. ↓, Plange L. ↑,
77', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
88', Marques M. ↓, El Wafi A. ↑,
88', Kokcu O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Dos Santos D. ⚽, Przybylko K. (A),

Chances of winning

Lugano
74.1%

Draw
16.5%

HJK
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

21.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

22.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - HJK Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.53)	5.68 ↑ (4.28)	9.94 ↑ (5.43)	5.7% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Lugano - HJK?

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lugano will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 78.1% – 99.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium.
Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches HJK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Lugano is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Lugano to win the game is with odds 1.44.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against HJK?

Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Lugano?

HJK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - HJK were as follows:

Latest results of Lugano

29.09.2024 Lugano - Winterthur 2:1 ✺

22.09.2024 Sion - Lugano 0:0 ✺

18.09.2024 Lausanne-Sport - Lugano 1:2 ✺

14.09.2024 Rapperswil-Jona - Lugano 1:3 ✺

01.09.2024 Lugano - St. Gallen 1:1 ✺

Latest results of HJK

28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1 ✺

20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1 ✺

14.09.2024 HJK - SJK 2:2 ✺

01.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:3 ✺

29.08.2024 HJK - KÍ Klaksvík 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda
6	Urartu	Neman
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont
36	Valur	Flora
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma
49	La Fiorita	Vardar
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
55	Hibernians	Bye
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann
58	Kalju	Partizani
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	TBD #3	Bye
3	Bye	TBD #6
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	TBD #13	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	TBD #18
10	Viking	TBD #20
11	AEK Athens FC	Bye
12	TBD #23	Gyor
13	Riga FC	TBD #26
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	TBD #29	Bye
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	Bye	Maribor
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	TBD #44
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	TBD #48
25	TBD #49	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Bye
28	Hibernians	Bye
29	TBD #57	TBD #58
30	AIK	TBD #60
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	TBD #65	Shamrock Rovers
34	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	TBD #72
37	Bye	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	TBD #77	SK Rapid
40	TBD #79	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	TBD #84
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	TBD #87	Beitar Jerusalem

Which TV channels are streaming of Lugano - HJK?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	Canal+ Live 14
Iceland	Viaplay
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 16, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+