Monza vs Lecce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Monza - Lecce
Result
0:0
16/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
Monza - Lecce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.79
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
819
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
511
Blocked Shots
03
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
Free Kicks
1810
Offsides
20
Fouls
1018
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2220
Touches in the Opposition Box
917
Passes
84% (408/486)81% (306/376)
Passes in the final third
77% (75/97)69% (81/118)
Crosses
26% (6/23)35% (7/20)
Tackles
80% (8/10)46% (6/13)
Clearances Total
2831
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Izzo A. 🟨,
  • 35', Pereira P. 🟨,
  • 37', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Mota D. , Zeroli K. ,
  • 65', Ciurria P. , Caprari G. ,
  • 69', Pierret B. , Ramadani Y. ,
  • 74', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Guilbert F. , Veiga D. ,
  • 79', D'Ambrosio D. , Brorsson A. ,
  • 79', Ganvoula S. , Balde K. ,
  • 89', Helgason T. J. , Rebic A. ,
  • 89', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 90', Urbanski K. , Martins K. ,

Chances of winning


Monza
34%
Draw
31.4%
Lecce
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 28.4% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monza - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.21)
    3.04
    (3.3)
    2.77
    (3.43)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Monza - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 42.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.8%56.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 0.
    • Monza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lecce is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Chest Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Birindelli S. (Thigh Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Banda L. (Broken ankle) Gaspar K. (Knee Injury) Helgason T. J. (Abdominal strain)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Lecce were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Lecce - Monza 2:1
    27.04.2024 Lecce - Monza 1:1
    17.09.2023 Monza - Lecce 1:1
    28.05.2023 Monza - Lecce 0:1
    11.09.2022 Lecce - Monza 1:1
    Latest results of Monza
    09.02.2025 Lazio - Monza 5:1
    01.02.2025 Monza - Verona 0:1
    27.01.2025 Genoa - Monza 2:0
    18.01.2025 Bologna - Monza 3:1
    13.01.2025 Monza - Fiorentina 2:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0
    31.01.2025 Parma - Lecce 1:3
    26.01.2025 Lecce - Inter Milan 0:4
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    11.01.2025 Empoli - Lecce 1:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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