Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Cup Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
2:1 penalties
24/09/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/32-finals
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Skowronski G. 🟨,
  • 39', Korczakowski I. 🟨,
  • 41', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, D'Arrigo L. ,
  • 55', Buletsa S. 🟨,
  • 59', Skowronski G. , Noiszewski K. ,
  • 59', Korczakowski I. , Jaron D. ,
  • 59', Sommerfeld K. , Bahonko E. ,
  • 61', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 64', D'Arrigo L. 🟨,
  • 66', Niski N. , Niewiadomski J. ,
  • 67', Sezonienko K. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 67', Buletsa S. , Zhelizko I. ,
  • 76', D'Arrigo L. , Pllana B. ,
  • 76', Wendt K. , Kapic R. ,
  • 81', Jaron D. 🟨,
  • 82', Gueho L. 🟨,
  • 83', Sarnavskyi B. 🟨,
  • 90', Kapic R. 🟨,
  • 90', Neugebauer T. , Kardas A. ,
  • 90+2', Odolak K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Noiszewski K. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Dziegielewski D. , Urbanski P. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Kapic R. (Pen),
  • 1, Jaron D. (Pen),
  • 2, Zhelizko I. (Pen),
  • 2, Los K. (Pen),
  • 3, Pllana B. (Pen),
  • 3, Dias M. (Pen),
  • 4, Gueho L. (Pen),
  • 4, Noiszewski K. (Pen),
  • 5, Viunnyk B. (Pen),
  • 5, Niewiadomski J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
24.4%
Draw
23.6%
Lechia Gdańsk
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16% 22.1% 61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 25.1% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's performance.
  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Gdańsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (5.8)
    3.87
    (4.2)
    1.76
    (1.5)
    9.5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    2S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    3Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    4Grodzisk M. (WO.)Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    5KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    6ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    7Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    10Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
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