Sporting Lisbon vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Lille
Result
2:0
17/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)
Sporting Lisbon - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.59
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
183
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
70
Blocked Shots
51
Free Kicks
2519
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
26
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
1718
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
25
Total Passes
478507
Completed Passes
418427
Tackles
1119
Attacks
100110
Dangerous Attacks
3441
Clearances Completed
63
Crosses Completed
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Inacio G. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 21', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Gyokeres V. , Goncalves P. (A),
  • 40', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 40', David J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Morita H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Morita H. , Braganca D. ,
  • 56', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 64', Meunier T. , Santos T. ,
  • 64', David J. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 64', Mandi A. , Bouaddi A. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Debast Z. , Braganca D. (A),
  • 71', Sahraoui O. , Cabella R. ,
  • 72', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
  • 73', Quenda G. , Araujo M. ,
  • 82', Bakker M. , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 86', Debast Z. 🟨,
  • 88', Trincao , Harder C. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
64.2%
Draw
21.6%
Lille
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 25.1% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 24.6% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.81)
    4.47
    (3.83)
    6.82
    (4.38)
    3.8%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (104 of 120 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.59%92.75%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Sporting is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Kovacevic V. (Ankle Injury) Quaresma E. (Ankle Injury) St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Haraldsson H. (Leg Injury) Ismaily (Injury) Mbappe E. (Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Sporting to win the game is with odds 1.64.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    13.09.2024 Arouca - Sporting Lisbon 0:3
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    23.08.2024 Farense - Sporting Lisbon 0:5
    17.08.2024 Nacional - Sporting Lisbon 1:6
    09.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave 3:1
    Latest results of Lille
    13.09.2024 Saint-Étienne - Lille 1:0
    28.08.2024 Slavia Prague - Lille 2:1
    24.08.2024 Lille - Angers 2:0
    20.08.2024 Lille - Slavia Prague 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Lisbon - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    chinaChinaiQIYI
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    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Maximo 360
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    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+ 1
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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