Severstal Cherepovets vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey KHL Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Result
2:5
16/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : KHL
Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1926
Shooting PCT
10.53% (2/19)19.23% (5/26)
Blocked Shots
149
Goalkeeper Saves
2117
Saves PCT
80.77% (21/26)89.47% (17/19)
Penalties
41
PIM
82
Power-play Goals
12
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
100% (1/1)50% (2/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (2/4)0% (0/1)
Hits
917
Faceoffs Won
2827
Faceoffs %
50.9149.09
Giveaways
204
Takeaways
31
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 16:22, Chebykin N. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 4)
  • 02:20, 0 - 1, Fyodorov M. (G), Petunin A. (A),
  • 04:29, (2 min),
  • 06:00, 0 - 2, Barach D. (G), Silantyev D. (A), Kantserov R. (A2)
  • 07:45, 0 - 3, Kozlov A. (G), Fyodorov M. (A), Minulin A. (A2)
  • 07:45, Samoilov A. , Skotnikov V. ,
  • 11:37, Vashchenko G. (2 min),
  • 12:34, 0 - 4, Barach D. (G), Silantyev D. (A), Orekhov V. (A2)
  • 17:51, Grudinin V. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:31, 1 - 4, Abrosimov R. (G), Tankov K. (A), Liska A. (A2)
  • 00:31, (2 min),
  • 00:41, 2 - 4, Abrosimov R. (G), Ivantsov I. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
  • 05:01, 2 - 5, Iskhakov R. (G), Petunin A. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Severstal Cherepovets
38.4%
Draw
22.1%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 23.1% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 21.6% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Severstal Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.44)
    4.3
    (4.05)
    2.41
    (2.44)
    5.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Severstal will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Severstal: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Severstal Cherepovets will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Metallurg M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Metallurg M has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Severstal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Severstal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 2.9:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets 4:1
    16.09.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 5:2
    19.08.2024 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets 2:6
    21.01.2024 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Severstal Cherepovets 3:2
    23.09.2023 Severstal Cherepovets - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 5:4
    KHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl9521132:1615
    2Nizhny Novgorod9421226:1813
    3Dinamo Minsk8412123:1712
    4Shanghai9412228:2312
    5CSKA Moscow10501431:2911
    6SKA St. Petersburg8411229:2111
    7Spartak Moscow9213326:319
    8Dynamo Moscow8131322:289
    9Cherepovets9400521:228
    10Sochi8121418:267
    11Lada9101717:433


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Avangard Omsk9520234:2314
    2Magnitogorsk9422134:2414
    3Niznekamsk9510327:2412
    4Tractor Chelyabinsk9412227:2512
    5Bars Kazan9401422:309
    6Yekaterinburg9311427:289
    7Barys Astana9221424:269
    8Khabarovsk8302317:188
    9Vladivostok7212218:158
    10Novosibirsk8130416:208
    11Salavat Ufa8012516:284

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