Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders
Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.952.28
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Long passes
45% (15/33)68% (38/56)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)85% (127/149)
Crosses
32% (6/19)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.29
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.280.95
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Musovski D. , Rothrock P. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 32', 1 - 1, Awodesu F. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 34', Gomez Andrade Y. 🟨,
  • 37', Artur 🟨,
  • 38', Awodesu F. 🟥,
  • 45', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 45+10', Kim Kee-Hee 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rothrock P. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 46', Bassi A. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Rusnak A. , de La Vega P. (A), Gomez Andrade Y. (A2)
  • 55', Gomez Andrade Y. , Bell J. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Rusnak A. , Kent R. (A),
  • 65', Artur , Junior Urso ,
  • 65', Bartlow E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 66', Rusnak A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 66', Kent R. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 71', Ponce E. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 79', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 80', Lingr O. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 84', De Rosario O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
30.4%
Draw
29.5%
Seattle Sounders
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 26.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.39)
    3.23
    (3.57)
    2.4
    (2.83)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 0.
    • Houston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Escobar F. (Red Card) Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Olusanya T. (Personal Reasons) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Muscle Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Maurer J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    03.11.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    28.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    28.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    19.06.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 2:2
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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    It is being streamed on channel
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