Toronto FC vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fischer D. (Can)
Toronto FC - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.94
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
159
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
3422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
82% (211/258)81% (303/372)
Long passes
41% (12/29)47% (22/47)
Passes in final third
70% (62/89)57% (49/86)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.83
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1614
Tackles
56% (10/18)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4637
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.941.97
Goals prevented
-0.060.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Synchuk G. 🟨,
  • 32', Petrasso L. 🟨,
  • 36', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 40', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Long K. 🟨,
  • 61', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 61', Synchuk G. , Ivan Jaime ,
  • 70', Bugaj D. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 74', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 74', Dominguez M. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 82', Escobar O. , Duke B. ,
  • 82', Craig B. , Hidalgo B. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Sealy D. , Duke B. (A),
  • 85', Coello A. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 86', Vilsaint J. 🟨,
  • 86', Gillier T. 🟨,
  • 88', Franklin K. , Etienne D. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Osorio J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
48.1%
Draw
25.7%
CF Montréal
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 22.6% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Toronto FC - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2)
    3.66
    (4)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Montreal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Injury) Neal J. (Illness) Opoku K. (Lower-Body Injury) Piette S. (Upper-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - CF Montréal were as follows:
    17.05.2025 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 1:6
    30.04.2025 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    20.07.2024 CF Montréal - Toronto FC 0:1
    18.05.2024 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 5:1
    20.08.2023 Toronto FC - CF Montréal 2:3
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    23.08.2025 CF Montréal - Austin FC 3:2
    16.08.2025 CF Montréal - DC United 1:1
    05.08.2025 CF Montréal - Puebla 1:2
    01.08.2025 Toluca - CF Montréal 2:1
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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