Peñarol de Montevideo vs Nacional Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo
Result
3:0
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
146
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
115
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Otero R. 🟨,
  • 19', Millan J. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 42', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Gularte E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Otero R. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 60', Patino J. , Romero D. ,
  • 60', Oliva C. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 60', Mereles E. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 62', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 68', Cabrera J. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 68', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 76', Lopez N. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 77', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 77', Gularte E. , Suarez D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, Arezo M. ,
  • 88', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 89', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Fernandez L. , Villalba H. ,

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
38.4%
Draw
30.4%
Nacional Montevideo
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 32.5% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 32.4% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.52)
    3.05
    (2.87)
    2.98
    (3.04)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:0
    09.02.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    26.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    20.01.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:1
    06.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo43106:2410
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Miramar41125:504
    11Danubio31112:204
    12Montevideo City31115:6-14
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
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