Cincinnati vs FC Dallas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - FC Dallas
Result
3:3
28/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Cincinnati - FC Dallas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.511.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.692.05
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3629
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
157
Passes
89% (528/590)79% (273/346)
Long passes
57% (32/56)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)63% (66/105)
Crosses
33% (8/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.68
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
715
Tackles
70% (14/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5636
Clearances
2231
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.052.69
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', Powell A. 🟨,
  • 8', Farfan M. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Bucha P. , Yedlin D. (A), Orellano L. (A2)
  • 36', Urhoghide O. , Abubakar L. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Denkey K. (Pen),
  • 44', Kaick 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Kamungo B. , Pedrinho ,
  • 50', 2 - 1, Musa P. , Moore S. (A),
  • 62', Musa P. 🟨,
  • 64', Sergio Santos , Kamara K. ,
  • 65', Kaick , Delgado P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Julio Santos A. A. , Pedrinho (A),
  • 73', Bucha P. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 73', Orellano L. , Engel L. ,
  • 73', Powell A. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. 🟨,
  • 83', Julio Santos A. A. , Farrington L. ,
  • 83', Yedlin D. , Baird C. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Valenzuela G. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Ibeagha S. , Delgado P. (A), Ramiro (A2)
  • 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
59%
Draw
22.5%
FC Dallas
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 23.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Cincinnati - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.66)
    4.27
    (4.02)
    5.09
    (4.92)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Cincinnati will win! (9 of 11 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dallas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Lletget S. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - FC Dallas were as follows:
    29.06.2024 FC Dallas - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    04.05.2025 New York City - Cincinnati 1:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1595127:121532
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Seattle Sounders1775525:22326
    5Portland Timbers1675425:22326
    6Los Angeles FC1565427:22523
    7San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    8Colorado Rapids1664618:22-422
    9Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    10Austin FC1755711:20-920
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1644825:28-316
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1635813:21-814
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9New York City1774620:20025
    10New England Revolution1565419:14523
    11Chicago Fire1564528:28022
    12DC United1746716:29-1318
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - FC Dallas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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