Result
3:6
30/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (206/268) | 93% (805/862) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 4.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (206/268) | 93% (805/862) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (25/39) | 70% (26/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (50/81) | 86% (152/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.54 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 7', 0 - 1, Neves J. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
- 14', 0 - 3, Neves J. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 4, Dembele O. (Pen),
- 37', 1 - 4, Cresswell C. ⚽,
- 45+8', Casseres C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Mendes N. ↓, Pacho W. ↑,
- 46', Vitinha ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 5, Dembele O. (Pen),
- 63', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
- 63', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 63', Sidibe D. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 63', Sauer M. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 70', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 70', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 75', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 6, Neves J. ⚽,
- 79', Methalie D. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
- 82', Donnum A. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 6, Gboho Y. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
- 90+1', 3 - 6, Vossah A. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),
Chances of winning
Toulouse
7.7% | Draw
14.2% | Paris Saint-Germain
78.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
13.98 ↑
(8.1) |
7.42 ↑
(5.42) |
1.29 ↓
(1.35) |
-1.6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). PSG will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 74.8% – 97.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Toulouse (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PSG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSG is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Canvot J.
(Inactive)
Francis A.
(Injury)
Messali R.
(Inactive)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G.
(Coach's decision)
Soler C.
(Inactive)
Tenas A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:39. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Toulouse?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
15.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:1
22.11.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
3:0
12.05.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
1:3
03.01.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
2:0
19.08.2023
Toulouse
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
