Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 38
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (236/303) | 89% (489/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (236/303) | 89% (489/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/77) | 83% (138/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Bijol J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Lucca L. ⚽, Solet O. (A),
- 39', Bijol J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 1, Fagioli N. ⚽,
- 50', Beltran L. 🟨,
- 52', Sanchez A. ↓, Zarraga O. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Comuzzo P. ⚽, Richardson A. (A),
- 59', Richardson A. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Kabasele C. ⚽,
- 71', Richardson A. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
- 77', Atta A. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
- 77', Lucca L. ↓, Davis K. ↑,
- 79', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Kean M. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
- 85', Beltran L. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
- 86', Ehizibue K. ↓, Palma M. ↑,
- 89', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Udinese
30.5% | Draw
28.1% | Fiorentina
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Udinese's performance.Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorentina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Udinese - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(5.31) |
3.39 ↓
(4.02) |
2.31 ↑
(1.69) |
4.4%
(2.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Udinese - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 32.1% – 67.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Fiorentina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Udinese: Kamara H.
(Injury)
Kristensen T.
(Yellow Cards)
Lovric S.
(Yellow Cards)
Payero M.
(Muscle Injury)
Thauvin F.
(Foot Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cataldi D.
(Thigh Injury)
Comuzzo P.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Udinese won against Fiorentina?
Udinese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Udinese?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Fiorentina were as follows:
23.12.2024
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
1:2
14.01.2024
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
2:2
24.09.2023
Udinese
-
Fiorentina
0:2
14.05.2023
Fiorentina
-
Udinese
2:0
31.08.2022
Udinese
-
Fiorentina
1:0
Latest results of Udinese
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
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|---|
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