Ventura County vs Real Monarchs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Ventura County - Real Monarchs
Result
4:3 penalties
01/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Ventura County - Real Monarchs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.27
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
86% (369/431)81% (349/432)
Long passes
47% (23/49)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)73% (94/128)
Crosses
28% (5/18)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.52
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1018
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
166
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.271.02
Goals prevented
-1.73-1.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽, Miller H. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dillon G. ⚽, Marquez O. (A),
  • 13', O'Gara L. 🟨,
  • 17', Charpie W. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Barea J. ⚽,
  • 43', Marquez O. ↓, Sandoval Molina B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Musto T. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Charpie W. ⚽,
  • 62', Henry K. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Sullivan N. ⚽,
  • 76', Sandoval Molina B. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
  • 78', Sullivan N. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
  • 89', Miller H. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Muller L. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Mesalles R. (Pen),
  • 1, Musto T. (Pen),
  • 2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
  • 2, Pepe (Pen),
  • 3, Anderson O. (Pen),
  • 3, Kocevski J. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Gara L. (Pen),
  • 4, Vanney D. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),
  • 5, Ramos R. (Pen),
  • 6, Dillon G. (Pen),
  • 6, Miller H. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ventura County
41.9%		Draw
24.4%		Real Monarchs
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 23.9% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 23.8% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Ventura County - Real Monarchs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2.07)    		 3.81 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.93)    		 7.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ventura County - Real Monarchs?
  • Users Predictions: Ventura County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ventura County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ventura County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventura County - Real Monarchs were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 1:2
    06.10.2024 Real Monarchs - Ventura County 2:1
    25.08.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 3:1
    19.05.2024 Ventura County - Real Monarchs 2:0
    Latest results of Ventura County
    18.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 0:2
    13.05.2025 Ventura County - Austin II 0:1
    09.05.2025 Ventura County - Los Angeles II 2:1
    02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    27.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Ventura County 2:3
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    28.05.2025 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 4:1
    18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    03.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    23.04.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 1:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Real Monarchs - The Town 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    6New York City II15522628:3121
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2North Texas16721628:3126
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    6Huntsville13532327:1623
    7Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    8Orlando City B15611721:2721
    9New York City II15522628:3121
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    12Carolina Core15324620:2117
    13Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    9Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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