Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Columbus Crew
Result
4:5
13/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
Atlanta United - Columbus Crew - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.611.21
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
92
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
88% (402/456)90% (452/504)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.611.21
xG on target (xGOT)
3.733.85
Total shots
167
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
60
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
92
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
710
Passes
88% (402/456)90% (452/504)
Long passes
70% (35/50)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
75% (92/122)79% (97/123)
Crosses
31% (8/26)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.921.08
Throw-ins
147
Fouls
107
Tackles
77% (10/13)71% (5/7)
Duels won
3428
Clearances
1023
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
3.853.73
Goals prevented
-1.15-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 5)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Rossi D. , Gazdag D. (A), Arfsten M. (A2)
  • 25', 0 - 3, Abou Ali W. , Gazdag D. (A), Herrera A. (A2)
  • 30', 0 - 4, Herrera A. ,
  • 39', 0 - 5, Rossi D. , Herrera A. (A), Abou Ali W. (A2)
  • 42', Rossi D. , Picard H. ,
  • 45+2', Cheberko Y. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 5, Almiron M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Brennan L. , Berrocal J. ,
  • 46', Hernandez R. , Lennon B. ,
  • 46', Lobjanidze S. , Reilly W. ,
  • 46', 2 - 5, Amador P. , Lennon B. (A), Almiron M. (A2)
  • 50', 3 - 5, Thiare J. , Mihaj E. (A),
  • 68', Abou Ali W. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 72', Muyumba T. , Miranchuk Al. ,
  • 74', Reilly W. , Sanchez C. ,
  • 75', Alzate S. 🟨,
  • 82', Arfsten M. , Brown T. ,
  • 82', Gazdag D. , Habroune T. ,
  • 88', 4 - 5, Thiare J. , Gregersen S. (A), Alzate S. (A2)
  • 90+8', Schulte P. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
31.2%
Draw
25%
Columbus Crew
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 24.8% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 25.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta United - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.64)
    3.81
    (3.8)
    2.21
    (2.4)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Columbus Crew?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlanta United will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Edwards M. (Hamstring Injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury) Slisz B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R. (Thigh Injury) Zawadzki S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Nagbe D. (Health problems)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Columbus Crew - Atlanta United 3:1
    20.07.2024 Atlanta United - Columbus Crew 2:1
    24.02.2024 Columbus Crew - Atlanta United 1:0
    12.11.2023 Columbus Crew - Atlanta United 4:2
    07.11.2023 Atlanta United - Columbus Crew 4:2
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 32179663:352860
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 32178763:372659
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd325121537:58-2127
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Columbus Crew?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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