Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong Ajax - De Graafschap
Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
Jong Ajax - De Graafschap - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.97
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
82% (342/418)85% (403/472)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.482.96
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
3028
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
157
Passes
82% (342/418)85% (403/472)
Long passes
38% (18/48)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)66% (69/104)
Crosses
25% (1/4)4% (1/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.05
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
715
Tackles
73% (8/11)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4737
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.961.48
Goals prevented
0.96-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. , O'Niel D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bounida R. , Vink S. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Wolff K. ,
  • 61', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 62', van der Heide A. , de Jong F. ,
  • 69', Wolff K. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 2, de Jong F. ,
  • 71', Johnson J. , van der Lans M. ,
  • 71', Muzungu M. , Butera E. ,
  • 71', Boersma B. , Rijks M. ,
  • 71', Meerstadt J. , Braem T. ,
  • 74', Besselink R. 🟨,
  • 78', Unuvar E. 🟨,
  • 80', Unuvar E. , Nash P. ,
  • 90+2', Butera E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
26.4%
Draw
22.9%
De Graafschap
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 23.4% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 23.1% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jong Ajax - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.82)
    4.05
    (3.95)
    1.88
    (2.11)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - De Graafschap?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
    • Jong Ajax has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • De Graafschap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
    • There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Symons K. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - De Graafschap were as follows:
    19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0
    09.12.2024 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:0
    11.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 0:2
    21.08.2023 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 1:2
    13.01.2023 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 3:0
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    29.09.2025 Waalwijk - Jong Ajax 2:1
    26.09.2025 Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo 2:4
    19.09.2025 Willem II - Jong Ajax 1:0
    15.09.2025 Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag 1:3
    12.09.2025 Roda - Jong Ajax 3:3
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambuur1182123:121126
    2Den Haag981027:72025
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Den Bosch1052322:19317
    6Willem II1052312:13-117
    7Dordrecht1044215:11416
    8Waalwijk1043316:14215
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10FC Emmen1141621:21013
    11De Graafschap1033415:16-112
    12Venlo1040614:17-312
    13Maastricht103259:14-511
    14Oss1032516:22-611
    15Eindhoven FC113269:22-1311
    16Almere City1031621:17410
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse832314:140-1

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