Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Eerste Divisie - Round 10
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 0.97 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
82% (342/418) | 85% (403/472) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 0.97 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.48 | 2.96 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (342/418) | 85% (403/472) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/48) | 57% (31/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (70/106) | 66% (69/104) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (1/4) | 4% (1/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 1.05 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.96 | 1.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.96 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Unuvar E. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bounida R. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Wolff K. ⚽,
- 61', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 62', van der Heide A. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 69', Wolff K. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, de Jong F. ⚽,
- 71', Johnson J. ↓, van der Lans M. ↑,
- 71', Muzungu M. ↓, Butera E. ↑,
- 71', Boersma B. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 71', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
- 74', Besselink R. 🟨,
- 78', Unuvar E. 🟨,
- 80', Unuvar E. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 90+2', Butera E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax 26.4% | Draw 22.9% | De Graafschap 50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Graafschap's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Ajax - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.59 ↑ (2.82) |
4.05 ↑ (3.95) |
1.88 ↓ (2.11) |
5.7% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - De Graafschap?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Jong Ajax has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- De Graafschap has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- De Graafschap could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in De Graafschap: Symons K.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against De Graafschap?
Jong Ajax has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong Ajax?
De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - De Graafschap were as follows:
19.04.2025
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
2:0
09.12.2024
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
2:0
11.03.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
0:2
21.08.2023
Jong Ajax
-
De Graafschap
1:2
13.01.2023
De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax
3:0
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cambuur | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Den Bosch | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 17 |
6 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
7 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
10 | FC Emmen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 13 |
11 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
12 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
13 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Eindhoven FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
16 | Almere City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21:17 | 4 | 10 |
17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
20 | Vitesse | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
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Which TV channels are streaming of Jong Ajax - De Graafschap?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |