De Graafschap vs Almere City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
2:2
09/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Promotion - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
De Graafschap - Almere City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.750.70
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
67
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
75
Passes
78% (391/501)64% (177/277)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.750.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.941.41
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
138
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3722
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
129
Passes
78% (391/501)64% (177/277)
Long passes
49% (39/80)29% (22/75)
Passes in final third
58% (84/146)58% (61/105)
Crosses
23% (7/30)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.77
Throw ins
3516
Fouls
912
Tackles
64% (9/14)40% (6/15)
Duels won
7152
Clearances
1647
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.412.94
Goals prevented
-0.590.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Jacobs Ja. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Druijf F. , el Dahri H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Schoppema L. , Eggens N. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Besselink R. ,
  • 58', Jacobs Ja. , Cornelisse E. ,
  • 59', Meerstadt J. , Symons K. ,
  • 61', el Dahri H. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 2, de Haan M. , Dors M. (A),
  • 68', Reith B. 🟨,
  • 70', de Jong F. , Simons J. ,
  • 70', Kok T. , Hardeman J. ,
  • 74', Reith B. , Providence R. ,
  • 74', el Dahri H. , de Nijs O. ,
  • 74', Poku E. , Sam A. ,
  • 78', El Allachi C. , Kaninda N. ,
  • 80', Dors M. , Jacobs Jo. ,
  • 81', Druijf F. , Huisman B. ,
  • 83', Martens N. , Grotenhuis T. ,
  • 85', Besselink R. 🟥,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Kwint K. , Symons K. (A),
  • 90+1', Gijselhart T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
47.7%
Draw
22.5%
Almere City
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 25.9% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 26.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • De Graafschap - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.21)
    4.12
    (3.6)
    3.13
    (2.91)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Almere City?
    • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-3.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
    • De Graafschap has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Almere City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • De Graafschap is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Almere City were as follows:
    06.05.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 3:1
    18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0
    29.09.2025 De Graafschap - Almere City 3:2
    20.01.2023 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:2
    16.09.2022 De Graafschap - Almere City 1:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Almere City
    02.05.2026 Almere City - Den Bosch 3:0
    29.04.2026 Den Bosch - Almere City 2:3
    24.04.2026 VVV-Venlo - Almere City 3:1
    17.04.2026 Almere City - Dordrecht 4:1
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap
    8ByeFC Volendam

    Quarter-finals
    1WaalwijkWillem II1 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Almere CityDe Graafschap2 : 2, 3 : 1
    4ByeFC Volendam

    Semi-finals
    1Willem IIAlmere City2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2ByeFC Volendam

    Final
    1Willem IIFC Volendam
    X
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