Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Merlo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
410
Yellow Cards
17
Red Cards
01
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Mendez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cipresso F. , Torres A. ,
  • 46', Davila M. , Laborda L. ,
  • 50', Mendez M. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez S. 🟨,
  • 62', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Mozzone E. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez F. , Arellano L. ,
  • 69', Aguerre F. , Meza A. ,
  • 73', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 79', Cao R. 🟨,
  • 86', Meza A. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 89', Benega S. , Ordano A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Italiano
43.6%
Draw
31.2%
Deportivo Merlo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 30.5% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 30% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.04)
    2.96
    (3.03)
    3.65
    (3.81)
    8.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sportivo Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sportivo Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 1:2
    20.07.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    02.03.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo 1:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland1795319:81132
    2Real Pilar1787219:91031
    3Deportivo Armenio1687120:11931
    4Flandria1769214:7727
    5Sportivo Italiano1775519:15426
    6Laferrere1667319:15425
    7San Martin Burzaco1766523:17624
    8Comunicaciones1766517:18-124
    9Villa San Carlos1758420:17323
    10Sacachispas1858519:17223
    11Argentino de Merlo1865723:22123
    12Brown Adrogue1757518:18022
    13Villa Dalmine1764714:18-422
    14Excursionistas1663720:20021
    15Acassuso1755721:24-320
    16Liniers1755718:23-520
    17Argentino de Quilmes1746721:25-418
    18UAI Urquiza163678:20-1215
    19Dep. Merlo1828814:22-814
    20Dock Sud172879:19-1014
    21Fenix1727813:23-1013

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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