Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Total shots
106
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
46
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Porro E. ,
  • 19', Porro E. 🟨,
  • 38', Daivez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Davila M. 🟨,
  • 52', Davila M. , Aguirre F. ,
  • 53', Daivez A. 🟨,
  • 53', Daivez A. 🟥,
  • 55', Aguerre F. , Zeineddin N. ,
  • 55', Cabrera A. , De Cuadro J. ,
  • 55', Meza A. , Cabrera D. ,
  • 67', Ordano A. , Gauna I. ,
  • 68', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
  • 69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
  • 72', Laborda L. , Torres A. ,
  • 73', Porro E. , Gomez F. ,
  • 75', Diaz F. 🟨,
  • 86', Casasola N. , Rapp A. ,
  • 86', Sosa S. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Zeineddin N. ,
  • 90+4', Aguirre F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Gomez F. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Merlo
46.7%
Draw
31.8%
Sportivo Italiano
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 26.9% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.72)
    2.89
    (3.4)
    4.27
    (4.56)
    8.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 0.
    • Deportivo Merlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sportivo Italiano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sportivo Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Deportivo Merlo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    02.03.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midland18106222:51736
    2Real Pilar1896325:131233
    3Argentino de Merlo1995523:15832
    4Acassuso1987420:16431
    5Villa San Carlos1893624:22230
    6Excursionistas1985618:16229
    7Dock Sud1977528:25328
    8Brown Adrogue1977518:15328
    9Dep. Merlo1867515:15025
    10UAI Urquiza19510416:18-225
    11Liniers1973924:21324
    12Argentino de Quilmes1959519:19024
    13San Martin Burzaco1966719:24-524
    14Villa Dalmine1958620:24-423
    15Comunicaciones1864817:17022
    16Flandria1957712:16-422
    17Laferrere1848619:19020
    18Deportivo Armenio1848613:18-520
    19Sportivo Italiano1839612:14-218
    20Sacachispas1919911:24-1312
    21Fenix1816118:27-199

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1
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