Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm
04/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
47.5%
Draw
4.4%
Melbourne Storm
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 4.4% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 4.4% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.83)
    21
    (21)
    1.91
    (2)
    8.1%
    (9.4%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 274:606. (average 13.7:30.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 158:356. (average 14.4:32.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 22:2
    05.09.2024 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 12:50
    04.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos 34:32
    08.09.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 26:0
    31.08.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Melbourne Storm 22:32
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders23194630:44444
    2Melbourne Storm23176657:42940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs23167528:39038
    4Brisbane Broncos23149650:49434
    5New Zealand Warriors23149491:46934
    6Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    7Penrith Panthers231210536:44931
    8Sydney Roosters231211617:51530
    9Manly Sea Eagles231112528:50828
    10Dolphins221012623:54226
    11Wests Tigers23914449:57624
    12Parramatta Eels23914436:56824
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57224
    14NQ Cowboys24914538:68423
    15St. George Illawarra Dragons23815478:58822
    16Newcastle Knights22616312:53218
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

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