Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Portland Timbers
Result
3:0
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Toronto FC - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.130.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Long passes
36% (17/47)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)72% (73/102)
Crosses
19% (4/21)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.49
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1614
Tackles
48% (11/23)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.003.13
Goals prevented
0.00-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Coello A. ,
  • 43', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Fernandez O. , Moreno S. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 68', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 69', Spicer T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 73', Mora F. , Guerra G. ,
  • 73', Chara D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 74', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 77', Ayala D. 🟨,
  • 85', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 86', Longstaff M. , Sullivan M. ,
  • 90', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Kerr D. , Etienne D. (A),
  • 90+5', Dominguez M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+5', Thompson K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
32.4%
Draw
28%
Portland Timbers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 27.4% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto FC's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto FC - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (4)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    2.38
    (1.91)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Portland will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Knock) Monlouis Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC28138753:361747
    5Seattle Sounders29129851:43845
    6Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake291041531:41-1034
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Portland Timbers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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