Toronto FC vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Portland Timbers
Result
3:0
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
Toronto FC - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.130.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
80% (245/306)83% (353/425)
Long passes
36% (17/47)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)72% (73/102)
Crosses
19% (4/21)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.49
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1614
Tackles
48% (11/23)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.003.13
Goals prevented
0.00-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Coello A. ,
  • 43', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Fernandez O. , Moreno S. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Spicer T. , Brynhildsen O. (A),
  • 68', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 69', Spicer T. , Etienne D. ,
  • 73', Mora F. , Guerra G. ,
  • 73', Chara D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 74', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 77', Ayala D. 🟨,
  • 85', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 86', Longstaff M. , Sullivan M. ,
  • 90', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 0, Kerr D. , Etienne D. (A),
  • 90+5', Dominguez M. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+5', Thompson K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
32.4%
Draw
28%
Portland Timbers
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 27.5% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 27.4% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto FC's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Toronto FC - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (4)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    2.38
    (1.91)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Portland will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Recent form of Toronto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Laryea R. (International duty) Osorio J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Knock) Monlouis Z. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Minnesota United25128542:281444
    3Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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