Result
3:0
07/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. (Pen),
- 42', De los Santos G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ginella F. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 47', Agazzi L. 🟨,
- 55', Garcia Cardozo D. G. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
- 69', Fernandez L. ↓, David Terans ↑,
- 69', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 70', Biscayzacu X. ↓, Montoya W. ↑,
- 70', Abaldo M. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 76', Herrera N. ↓, Leo Coelho ↑,
- 76', Cabrera J. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 82', Silvera M. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
- 86', Barrios G. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
- 86', Agazzi L. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, David Terans ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
57.2% | Draw
25.7% | Defensor Sporting
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.76) |
3.59 ↑
(3.41) |
5.37 ↑
(4.77) |
8.2%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 5.
- Peñarol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensor Sporting's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
02.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:1
17.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:0
27.07.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
18.05.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
07.10.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Torneo IntermedioGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Plaza Colonia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Juventud | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Danubio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 6 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Miramar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
