Oyonnax Rugby vs Castres: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby union French Top 14 Oyonnax Rugby - Castres
Result
22:19
27/04/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 22
Oyonnax Rugby - Castres - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
32
Conversion Goals
20
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
13
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 13)
  • 18', Nakosi F. (Try),
  • 24', Geledan B. 🟨,
  • 33', Dumora J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 35', Dumora J. (Try),
  • 39', Ruru J. (Try),
  • 40', Miotti D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (15 - 6)
  • 43', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 48', Dumora J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Chilachava L. 🟥,
  • 50', Stark G. (Try),
  • 50', Miotti D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Godener L. (Try),
  • 70', Miotti D. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Oyonnax Rugby
37.9%
Draw
4.6%
Castres
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 6% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 6.3% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oyonnax Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Oyonnax Rugby - Castres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.67)
    20
    (15)
    1.58
    (1.51)
    9.2%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 48.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 0.
    • Oyonnax has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Castres is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Castres will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 155-251.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Oyonnax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 81-79.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oyonnax Rugby - Castres were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Castres - Oyonnax Rugby 39:11
    Latest results of Oyonnax Rugby
    20.04.2024 Oyonnax Rugby - Racing Métro 13:43
    30.03.2024 La Rochelle - Oyonnax Rugby 40:21
    23.03.2024 Oyonnax Rugby - Perpignan 14:15
    09.03.2024 Clermont - Oyonnax Rugby 15:15
    02.03.2024 Oyonnax Rugby - Montpellier 35:39
    Latest results of Castres
    20.04.2024 Castres - La Rochelle 25:24
    05.04.2024 Gloucester - Castres 30:25
    30.03.2024 Perpignan - Castres 43:12
    23.03.2024 Castres - Racing Métro 21:23
    09.03.2024 Lyon - Castres 34:19
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bye
    2Aviron Bayonnais (4)Clermont (5)20 : 3
    3Bordeaux Begles (2)Bye
    4RC Toulonnais (3)Castres Olympique (6)52 : 23

    Semi-finals
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Aviron Bayonnais (4)32 : 25
    2Bordeaux Begles (2)RC Toulonnais (3)39 : 24

    Final
    1Stade Toulousain (1)Bordeaux Begles (2)39 : 33
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