AGF Aarhus vs Randers FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus).

: Superliga - Round 2
Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.56
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
86% (442/516)	82% (332/404)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.79	1.41
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
31	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
21	7
Passes
86% (442/516)	82% (332/404)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
74% (100/136)	71% (79/111)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.51	0.57
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
7	21
Tackles
61% (11/18)	58% (14/24)
Duels won
59	65
Clearances
17	42
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.41	2.79
Goals prevented
-0.59	1.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽, Links G. (A),
8', Arnstad K. 🟨,
45+3', Mortensen P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hansen S. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Campbell N. ⚽, Toure M. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Mahmoud E. ⚽, Campbell N. (A),
60', Bjorkengren J. 🟨,
64', Mortensen P. 🟨,
68', Campbell N. ↓, Themsen M. ↑,
69', Toure M. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
69', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
69', Links G. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
79', Kahl E. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
81', Mahmoud E. ↓, Lauenborg F. ↑,
87', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
87', Arnstad K. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
90', Storch J. 🟨,
90+1', Pedersen L. ↓, Lissens L. ↑,
90+1', Danho F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AGF Aarhus
50.1%

Draw
26.8%

Randers FC
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AGF Aarhus's performance.

Randers FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGF Aarhus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Randers FC than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

AGF Aarhus - Randers FC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	4.21 ↑ (3.46)	3.5% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Randers FC?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Randers will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 1.
Aarhus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Randers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Randers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aarhus might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Injury) Badji Y. (Lacking Match Fitness) Molgaard T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Randers: Themsen M. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Randers FC?

AGF Aarhus has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Randers FC won against AGF Aarhus?

Randers FC has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Randers FC were as follows:

11.05.2025 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 1:3

17.04.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 3:1

28.02.2025 Randers FC - AGF Aarhus 1:1

28.09.2024 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 2:2

30.10.2023 AGF Aarhus - Randers FC 2:1

Latest results of AGF Aarhus

20.07.2025 SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Ajax - AGF Aarhus 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 AGF Aarhus - OB Odense 0:0 ✺

02.07.2025 AGF Aarhus - Horsens 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 AGF Aarhus - Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Randers FC

20.07.2025 Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Randers FC 1:1 ✺

02.07.2025 Midtjylland - Randers FC 2:3 ✺

28.06.2025 Randers FC - Viborg 2:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Randers FC - Silkeborg IF 1:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Midtjylland - Randers FC 3:2 ✺

Danish Superliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	9:5	4	9
2	Brondby	4	3	0	1	6:3	3	9
3	Randers FC	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
4	Midtjylland	4	1	3	0	12:8	4	6
5	Viborg	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
6	Aarhus	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
7	Vejle	4	1	1	2	6:5	1	4
8	Fredericia	4	1	1	2	7:8	-1	4
9	Odense	3	1	1	1	6:8	-2	4
10	Sonderjyske	4	1	1	2	6:10	-4	4
11	Nordsjaelland	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
12	Silkeborg	4	1	0	3	4:8	-4	3

Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of AGF Aarhus - Randers FC?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3