Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - Atlanta United
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.27
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
82% (373/456)79% (336/425)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.880.22
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
99
Passes
82% (373/456)79% (336/425)
Long passes
46% (24/52)37% (23/62)
Passes in final third
77% (149/194)64% (78/121)
Crosses
14% (3/22)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.711.51
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
99
Tackles
53% (8/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
3630
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.222.88
Goals prevented
0.220.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 35', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Miranchuk Al. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 60', Latte Lath E. 🟨,
  • 73', Rogers S. 🟨,
  • 74', Hernandez R. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 74', Klich M. , Slisz B. ,
  • 74', Fortune A. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Rogers S. (Own goal),
  • 81', Dean J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 81', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 81', Lennon B. , Cobb N. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kouame R. , Glasgow O. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 90', Gutierrez B. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 90', Edwards M. , Thiare J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
39.8%
Draw
25.1%
Atlanta United
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 26.1% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 26% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.31)
    3.82
    (3.65)
    2.75
    (2.92)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Atlanta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
    • Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlanta is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of home games.
    • Chicago might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L. (Lower-Body Injury) Brady C. (Red Card) Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Atlanta United were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 0:0
    31.03.2024 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 3:0
    20.05.2023 Chicago Fire - Atlanta United 3:3
    23.04.2023 Atlanta United - Chicago Fire 2:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Colorado Rapids2175924:30-626
    10Austin FC2075815:23-826
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Orlando City2197539:281134
    6Inter Miami1795340:281232
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution1966725:23224
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Fire - Atlanta United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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