Newport County vs Brentford: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Newport County - Brentford
Result
1:2 penalties
29/08/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/32-FINALS
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Newport County - Brentford - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
11.2%
Draw
17.1%
Brentford
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.8% 20.7% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2% 20.1% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newport County - Brentford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.33
    (6.84)
    5.42
    (4.56)
    1.32
    (1.44)
    6.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Brentford?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Brentford will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Newport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Brentford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brentford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Brentford is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Brentford: Baptiste S. (Shoulder Injury) Dasilva J. (Thigh Injury) Toney I. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Brentford: Mee B. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Brentford
    26.08.2023 Brentford - Crystal Palace 1:1
    19.08.2023 Fulham - Brentford 0:3
    05.08.2023 Brentford - Lille 0:0
    30.07.2023 Aston Villa - Brentford 3:3
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1AccringtonOldham
    2BarnetNewport
    X
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