Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (451/525)81% (365/452)
Long passes
51% (20/39)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
76% (93/123)71% (132/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.12
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
86
Tackles
50% (6/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3022
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.171.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Anunga T. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 63', Miazga M. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 66', Joveljic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Radoja N. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 73', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Denkey K. , Orellano L. (A),
  • 79', Denkey K. 🟨,
  • 85', Orellano L. , Powell A. ,
  • 86', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 86', Shelton K. , Brody A. ,
  • 86', Suleymanov S. , Afrifa S. ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, Bassong Z. , Thommy E. (A),
  • 90+1', Denkey K. , Baird C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
60.3%
Draw
21.8%
Sporting Kansas City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.6% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    4.35
    (3.59)
    5.3
    (4.9)
    5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Cincinnati in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kansas City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Davis J. (Hamstring Injury) Rosero D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.69.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    23.07.2023 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 4:3
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6New York City2094727:22531
    7Inter Miami1685336:27929
    8New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    9Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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