Result
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
52.7% | Draw
26.7% | Grêmio
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)The ML Model estimate for Grêmio aligns with the current prediction.
Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.8) |
3.56 ↑
(3.5) |
4.66 ↑
(4.5) |
5.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Grêmio?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Atlético Mineiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio were as follows:
29.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
09.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
2:1
01.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:3
26.11.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
3:0
22.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Santos | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11:35 | -24 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
